MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: British GP

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Two weeks on from Mercedes’ return to the top of the F1 perch, Lewis Hamilton prepares for his home race – the British Grand Prix – this weekend at Silverstone.

His victory in 2008 was one of the most notable home wins the sport has known, and the image of his silver and red McLaren fighting through the spray remains a symbol of his championship winning year. Now, things are a little less red with Mercedes, but with the quickest car on the grid underneath him, he’ll know that this marks his best chance since then of winning at home.

Standing in his way is teammate Nico Rosberg. The German driver currently leads the drivers’ championship by 29 points ahead of Hamilton, and a win here could put him in very good stead before his home race at Hockenheim. So which Mercedes will do it this weekend? The MST team shares its thoughts…

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. “Home advantage” is not so clear in Formula 1, but memories of Lewis’ incredible victory back in 2008 still linger. With a roaring home crowd, Silverstone could see the momentum swing right back in his favor.

Surprising finish: Pastor Maldonado. F1’s bad boy will be hoping to score his first points of the year at the British Grand Prix this weekend, having secured his best result of the season in Austria. Lotus shouldn’t be at as much of a disadvantage this time around, so relying he keeps it out of the wall, he could secure a top ten finish.

Most to prove: Kimi Raikkonen. With a best finish of seventh so far this season, Kimi needs a result soon. Everyone’s favorite Finn has been pretty anonymous so far this year; this weekend he needs a top five finish, as hard as that may be. Note that I didn’t mention Sauber this week!

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. Due for some home cooking and with his best shot to win his home Grand Prix since his title-winning year in 2008. A hungry Hamilton is a dangerous one.

Surprising finish: Fernando Alonso. Even though the car isn’t nearly on par with the Mercedes power unit entries, I have a sneaking hunch Fernando is going to pull a trademark rabbit out of his hat at this circuit. Sneaky podium perhaps?

Most to prove: Jenson Button. Here’s hoping Jenson rises to the occasion on home soil after an Austrian GP where he was comprehensively trounced by teammate Kevin Magnussen, and after his team has told him to pick it up. This would be a perfect race for him to show he’s still got the heart in what’s been a trying personal year.

Christopher Estrada (@estradawriting)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. All the momentum he had from his four-race winning streak earlier in the season is gone. But facing something of a must-win situation on home ground, Hamilton will pull through and tighten his championship deficit to Nico Rosberg.

Surprising finish: Romain Grosjean. Silverstone’s array of high-speed corners should be more to the Lotus E22’s liking, so keep an eye out for a run back into the points from the Frenchman.

Most to prove: Lewis Hamilton. He’s lost out in the last three races, he’s down 29 points to Rosberg in the title race, and the locals desperately want a win from him after one of Pirelli’s blowouts ruined his British GP last year. No pressure. Well…Maybe a little.

Jerry Bonkowski (@JerryBonkowski)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. It’s no secret that Hamilton gets up a little more when he races in front of his home country fans. In addition, Hamilton needs to get closer to overtake series leader Nico Rosberg. What better to begin the kick towards a stretch run for the championship than on his home turf? 

Surprising finish: Felipe Massa. After climbing two places in the standings following the last race, Massa is on a bit of a hot streak, one that we expect to continue this Sunday. Massa is riding confidence, having moved into the top 10 in the standings. While it’s likely too late for him to make a second-half season rally for the championship, a top-five end of season finish is still possible — although it won’t be easy, indeed.

Most to prove: Jenson Button. What’s happened to JB this season? No wins, 122 points behind Nico Rosberg and has dropped to eighth in the standings. How can anyone explain that, particularly Button. Could this just be an off-season, or are we seeing the beginning of the end of Button’s career? Surely, racing on home turf should mean something for him and bring about a better result than we’ve seen from him this season.

Find out how to watch every session from the British Grand Prix live with NBC Sports by clicking here.

F1 Preview: 2018 Australian Grand Prix

Photo: Getty Images
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Save for two occasions, in 2006, and 2010, the Australian Grand Prix has served as the season-opening event for the FIA Formula 1 World Championship since 1996, and this weekend’s event will be the 21st time that the city of Melbourne has kicked off the Formula 1 campaign.

The 2018 season is the fifth one of the current hybrid power unit era, the second season of the current aero regulations, and the second under Liberty Media’s guidance.

Last year saw titans Mercedes AMG Petronas and Scuderia Ferrari duel for supremacy for most of the season before Mercedes distanced Ferrari late in the season to take the constructor’s title and the driver’s title, with Lewis Hamilton, who is now tied with Sebastian Vettel on four world championships apiece.

Four drivers on the grid have Formula 1 world championships to their name: Hamilton, Vettel, Kimi Raikkonen, and Fernando Alonso. Scuderia Toro Rosso’s Brendon Hartley also has a world championship to his name as a two-time titlist in the FIA World Endurance Championship.

So, what can viewers expect from the 2018 curtain-raiser in Australia? A handful of things to watch are below?

2018 Australian Grand Prix – Talking Points

Does Anyone Have Anything for Mercedes?

Only on one day during pre-season testing did a Mercedes driver lead the way – Lewis Hamilton was fastest on the final day of Week 1 at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya.

However, all indications were that was by design, with the team focusing the majority of the second week, if not the entire second week, on long runs with their W09 EQ Power+ chassis.

Such a decision is an ominous one, in that it indicates the team is very comfortable with the amount of speed in the car and did not see a need, or desire, to show their hand during testing.

With that in mind, the Mercedes duo of Hamilton and Valtteri Bottas may yet again have the best and fastest cars, and the team looks poised to potentially make it five constructor’s and driver’s championships in a row.

Ferrari and Red Bull Look to End Mercedes Reign

The biggest threats to Mercedes are undoubtedly Ferrari and Red Bull, the only other teams to win in 2017.

And both teams displayed a lot of pace during testing, particularly in the “one-lap speed” category. Ricciardo set a lap record around the Catalunya circuit during the second week, only for Vettel to supplant that mark later in the week. Teammate Kimi Raikkonen led the way during the final day of testing.

It is unknown how that pace will translate over the course of a race distance. Mercedes appeared to have an edge on both Ferrari and Red Bull over long runs and race simulations, but there is also a theory that neither Ferrari nor Red Bull had their true long-run form on display.

Still, if a team is going to knock off Mercedes, it will likely be either Ferrari or Red Bull.

McLaren on the Rebound?

Put simply, the previous three seasons for McLaren F1 Team were a bit of a disaster. Their partnership with Honda yielded point totals of 27 (2015), 76 (2016), and 30 (2017) in a three-year venture that was defined by poor reliability and underwhelming power.

The relationship hit a boiling point last year and both entities parted ways ahead of the 2018 season, with McLaren signing a new power unit deal with Renault.

Testing went better than in previous years, though the team continued to battle reliability problems. However, all issues appeared to be minor, needling issues rather than more significant, foundational problems, as the other Renault teams (Red Bull and Renault Sport F1 Team) had solid runs with few reliability issues.

The car does appear to have speed in it, so if the reliability problems are behind them, McLaren could be in for a rebound season.

Stuck in the Midfield Again

Formula 1’s battle amongst the midfield is set to be as fierce as ever as a host of a several teams have a chance at being “best of the rest.”

Sahara Force India has been the frontrunner from the the midfield teams each of the last two years, finishing fourth in the constructor’s title in both 2016 and 2017, though if the steady conflict between drivers Esteban Ocon and Sergio Perez continues through 2018, it could hamper their efforts significantly.

Renault Sport F1 Team and Haas F1 Team look to improve on their 2017 form, while Toro Rosso is in a new partnership with Honda power units…and has experienced a surprisingly smooth pre-season as Honda’s 2018 platform looks significantly better, with the team enjoying a solid run of testing with few, if any, reliability problems.

Williams Martini Racing and Alfa Romeo Sauber appear to be at the back of the pack entering the season, but both could battle for points finishes if those ahead of them falter.