With nine races to go in the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series’ regular season, Tony Stewart has yet to win and claim a berth in this year’s Chase for the Sprint Cup.
Right now, Stewart is outside the Top 16 cutoff point of the Chase Grid. He’s five points behind Kasey Kahne and 13 points behind Clint Bowyer, who occupies the 16th Grid position.
But tonight may be his night at Daytona International Speedway, which has been a stronghold for Smoke over the years.
While Stewart has yet to earn a Daytona 500 win, he has won 19 events at the World Center of Racing across Sprint Cup points and non-points races, Nationwide Series races, and IROC races.
And among those 19 victories are four of them in the Coke Zero 400, which is expected to go off around 7:30 p.m. ET tonight (weather permitting). Those four Daytona summer wins are the most among active Cup drivers, and in the last two Daytona summer races, Stewart has finished first (2012) and second (2013).
Out of all the winless drivers that are still battling for the post-season, Stewart has to be the favorite to emerge from this group and take the checkered flag. But as he alluded to this week, luck will be every bit as important as skill in these 400 miles.
“Someone described racing on the superspeedways of being a combination of a science project and the luck of a casino, and it’s exactly that way,” he said in a release.
“You do everything in your power to take care of the science or technology side. You do everything you can to build the fastest car. If you don’t have the luck to go with it – even if you don’t have any drama with getting the car touched, nothing happens to the car – if you’re just in the wrong spot at the wrong time, it can take you out of the opportunity to take the best race car in the field and win.”
He also noted the importance of recognizing how the draft will impact his car and in what ways.
“You just try getting in different scenarios and try to learn if you get in the middle of the draft, what does it do?,” he said. “Will it give you a push? Will it not give you a push? If you get next to this car, does it suck you up or does it slow you down?
“It’s trial and error, but at the same time, it’s like pulling a pin on a grenade. You know through that process that if one guy makes a mistake, your car’s torn up. It’s just a delicate balance of how hard you go, how many things you try, and how much time you spend doing it.”
Stewart will roll off 12th in this evening’s race, which is an opportunity to secure a Daytona win for a 10th consecutive season. But more importantly, it’s an opportunity to ensure a chance at a fourth Sprint Cup title in the fall.
One of the great road courses in the United States, Road America, plays host to the next round of the Verizon IndyCar Series – the KOHLER Grand Prix (Sunday June 24, 12:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN).
A staple of IndyCar between 1982 and 2007, IndyCar returned to Road America amidst great fanfare in 2016. And the two visits since its return have not disappointed.
Will Power held off a hard-charging Tony Kanaan to win in 2016, while Graham Rahal survived a thrilling battle for third to round out the podium. And last year, Scott Dixon made an outstanding outside pass on Josef Newgarden in Turn 1 to take the lead on a late-race restart, and he held on to win from there – it was also his only victory of 2017.
And if the previous road and street courses are any indication, Sunday’s race could be another thriller on the 4.048-mile road course.
Major talking points ahead of the KOHLER Grand Prix are below.
The Rise of Dixon
The 2018 IndyCar season is beginning look a lot like a Scott Dixon year.
After a somewhat slow start to his season, Dixon caught fire in the month of May. He finished second at the INDYCAR Grand Prix, then third at the Indianapolis 500.
He followed that up with a ferocious first two weeks of June, winning Race 1 of the Chevrolet Dual in Detroit and finishing fourth in Race 2. He followed that up by dominating the second half of the DXC Technology 600 at Texas Motor Speedway to take his second win of the season, and his second in three races.
That stretch has put Dixon into the championship lead for the first time this season. And he is also the defending winner of the KOHLER Grand Prix, after passing then leader Josef Newgarden on a late-race restart, so he likely enters the weekend as the favorite.
“Obviously I’m happy with where the team has been running these past few weekends, but we’ve been there the whole season. We just haven’t shown the results for one reason or another,” Dixon explained. “While most had the weekend off, we had the opportunity to compete again at Le Mans, which is a very special deal. So now we’re back, and after a few short days at home, it’s Road America. We had a great car here last year picking up the win for the No. 9 team, and I’m hoping we can do it again this weekend with the PNC Bank car.”
Dixon won’t go nearly as far as to talk anything championship-related at the moment, but a fifth championship is most certainly possible.
Road America Could Become Very Tire-some
The primary “black” and alternate “red” Firestone tires have created genuinely intriguing racing in recent weeks.
The difference in grip levels between them saw Will Power and Robert Wickens engage in a fantastic and tactical mid-race duel at the INDYCAR Grand Prix, and it created a lot of drama across both races in Belle Isle, culminating in Ryan Hunter-Reay’s charge to victory in Race 2.
And last year’s KOHLER Grand Prix ultimately came down to tire strategy. The aforementioned Dixon passed Newgarden because he was on the alternate “red” tires, while Newgarden was on the primary “blacks” – Newgarden also took the lead earlier in the race using the same tactic, getting onto reds when other leaders were on blacks, which helped him pass Helio Castroneves for the lead.
It’s within reason to think this weekend at Road America will be more of the same.
Newgarden’s Season Slipping Away?
Josef Newgarden entered the month of May on a hot streak, having won two of the opening four races to lead the championship as the series headed to the Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
The wheels have metaphorically come off a bit since then. He finished 11th at the INDYCAR Grand Prix after spinning late in the race, eighth at the Indy 500, ninth and 15th in Detroit, and 13th at Texas Motor Speedway.
That stretch has dropped him from the championship lead to fifth in the standings, 68 points off Dixon for the title lead.
If he is to get himself back into title contention, he’ll need to get back on the podium this weekend. And fortunately for Newgarden, the Road America circuit ranks at the top of his personal favorites.
“I’m not shy on saying that Road America is probably my favorite track. I really love racing there. It’s a fun road course with a lot of great INDYCAR fans, so what’s not to love?” Newgarden asserted. “These cars with the new aero kit have been super exciting on road courses and this weekend will be no different. The entire No. 1 Verizon Chevy team and I are pumped to get on track there. I thought we were strong at Texas after not living up to our standards at Detroit, but we just ran out of luck. Myself and the entire team are ready to really come back strong to gain more points to continue our hunt for another championship.”
Ryan Hunter-Reay is quietly beginning to put together a title-contending year. Outside of a 20th at Long Beach, and 18th at the INDYCAR Grand Prix, Hunter-Reay’s worst finish is fifth (three times), and he three podiums to his name, including his Detroit Race 2 victory. He sits 49 points behind Dixon, well within striking distance. This is about the time of the year when he started his title run back in 2012, which culminated in a series championship for him, and 2018 could be headed in that direction.
Graham Rahal sits sixth in the standings, 107 points back. His crash in Detroit Race 1 undoubtedly hurt his title chances, but he has been incredibly consistent outside of that, finishing inside the Top 10 at every other race. However, he’ll need some victories later in the year if he is to put himself back in the title picture.
Juncos Racing returns to the grid, with Alfonso Celis making his IndyCar debut. A standout and race winner in World Series Formula V8 3.5, he previously raced with Juncos in Indy Lights Presented by Cooper Tires at Barber Motorsports Park, where he finished seventh and eighth.
The Final Word…
From Robert Wickens, who made his IndyCar debut in Friday practice last year at Road America – he subbed for Mikhail Aleshin, who was delayed in arriving at Road America following the 24 Hours of Le Mans:
“I’m really looking forward to Road America. I think, in the last few races, we’ve shown our potential. We’ve shown that we’re quick. Now we need to try to get back on the podium. Road America is always a fun track, and it’s where I got my first taste of INDYCAR with SPM so I can’t wait to actually race the Lucas Oil car here.”
Saturday, June 23 11:00-11:45 a.m. (12:00-12:45 p.m. ET) – Verizon IndyCar Series practice #3, RaceControl.IndyCar.com (Live) 3:00 p.m. (4:00 p.m. ET) – Qualifying for the Verizon P1 Award (three rounds of knockout qualifying), NBCSN (5:30 p.m. same-day delay)
Sunday, June 24 11:30 a.m. (12:30 p.m. ET) – NBCSN on-air 12:05 p.m. (1:05 p.m. ET) – KOHLER Grand Prix (55 laps/220.77 miles), NBCSN (Live)
Here’s last year’s Top 10:
1. Scott Dixon
2. Josef Newgarden
3. Helio Castroneves
4. Simon Pagenaud
5. Will Power
6. Charlie Kimball
7. Ed Jones
8. Graham Rahal
9. Max Chilton
10. Mikhail Aleshin
Here’s last year’s Firestone Fast Six:
1. Helio Castroneves
2. Will Power
3. Josef Newgarden
4. Simon Pagenaud
5. Scott Dixon
6. Graham Rahal