Your Chase clinch scenarios for Saturday’s regular season finale

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The final two Chase Grid spots will be on the line in Saturday’s Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond International Raceway.

At the front of that battle are the group of four drivers that can still make it on points alone – 15th-place Ryan Newman, 16th-place Greg Biffle, 17th-place Clint Bowyer, and 18th-place Kyle Larson.

But there’s also another group of 15 drivers within the Top 30 in NASCAR Sprint Cup points that can crash the Chase party in the only way they can.

Win.

However, out of all those hopefuls, only one driver can enter the Commonwealth of Virginia in charge of his own destiny, and that’s Newman (+42 over the cutoff).

His scenario is simple: Finish 18th or better on Saturday night, and he’s in the show. It bears noting that Newman has earned three Top-10s in his last four starts at Richmond (he finished eighth there in the spring).

For Biffle, Bowyer, and Larson, however, things are a bit more complex.

Should there be a repeat winner, or if winless No. 14 seed Kenseth or Newman win, Biffle clinches with a finish of 22nd or better.

But if there is a new winner that isn’t Kenseth or Newman, then Biffle has to out-point Newman by 19 points and beat both Bowyer and Larson – the latter two drivers having an opportunity if Biffle has a poor run.

Biffle’s record at Richmond has not been strong, as he’s only earned one Top-10 finish there since 2007. However, he’s been on a solid run as of late with Top-10 finishes in the last five races. Something will have to give.

As noted yesterday, Bowyer’s a two-time winner at Richmond, so he’ll be looking to come off the truck fast. This past spring, though, he finished dead last there after his right wheel well caught on fire before the halfway point.

In that race, Bowyer also dumped Larson, the polesitter, on the opening lap. Larson recovered to finish 16th in a solid drive from the back. If he can avoid trouble, he can be a factor on Saturday night.

Then there are those aforementioned 15 drivers who must have a win on Saturday to make the Chase – a group that includes Paul Menard, Austin Dillon, Jamie McMurray, Brian Vickers, Marcos Ambrose, Casey Mears, Martin Truex Jr., Tony Stewart, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Danica Patrick, Justin Allgaier, Michael Annett, David Gilliland, David Ragan, and Cole Whitt.

Here’s the 33-driver starting field for today’s Indianapolis 500

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Want to know which driver is starting where in today’s 102nd Running of the Indianapolis 500 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway?

Here’s the full 33-driver starting field:

Row 1

20 Ed Carpenter (USA)

Ed Carpenter Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 1st

Past Indy 500 starts: 14

Best finish: 5th (2008)

 

22 Simon Pagenaud (France)

Team Penske

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 2nd

Past Indy 500 starts: 6

Best finish: 8th (2013)

 

12 Will Power (Australia)

Team Penske

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 3rd

Past Indy 500 starts: 10

Best finish: 2nd (2015)

 

Row 2

1 Josef Newgarden (USA)

Team Penske

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 4th

Past Indy 500 starts: 6

Best finish: 3rd (2016)

 

18 Sebastien Bourdais (France)

Dale Coyne Racing with Vasser-Sullivan

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 5th

Past Indy 500 starts: 6

Best finish: 7th (2014)

 

21 Spencer Pigot (USA)

Ed Carpenter Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 6th

Past Indy 500 starts: 2

Best finish: 18th (2017)

 

Row 3


13 Danica Patrick (USA)

Ed Carpenter Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 7th

Past Indy 500 starts: 7

Best finish: 3rd (2009)

 

3 Helio Castroneves (Brazil)

Team Penske

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 8th

Past Indy 500 starts: 17

Best finish: 1st (2001, 2002, 2009)

 

9 Scott Dixon (New Zealand)

Chip Ganassi Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 9th

Past Indy 500 starts: 15

Best finish: 1st (2008)

 

Row 4

 

14 Tony Kanaan (Brazil)

A.J. Foyt Enterprises

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 10th

Past Indy 500 starts: 16

Best finish: 1st (2013)

 

4 Matheus Leist (Brazil)

A.J. Foyt Enterprises

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 11th

Past Indy 500 starts: 0

Best finish: none

 

98 Marco Andretti (USA)

Andretti Herta Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified 12th

Past Indy 500 starts: 12

Best finish: 2nd (2006)

 

Row 5

19 Zachary Claman Demelo (Canada)

Dale Coyne Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 13th

Past Indy 500 starts: 0

Best finish: none

 

28 Ryan Hunter-Reay (USA)

Andretti Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 14th

Past Indy 500 starts: 10

Best finish: 1st (2014)

 

23 Charlie Kimball (USA)

Carlin Motorsport

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified 15th

Past Indy 500 starts: 7

Best finish: 3rd (2015)

 

Row 6

 

30 Takuma Sato (Japan)

Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 16th

Past Indy 500 starts: 8

Best finish: 1st (2017)

 

32 Kyle Kaiser (USA)

Juncos Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 17th

Past Indy 500 starts: 0

Best finish: none

 

6 Robert Wickens (Canada)

Schmidt Peterson Motorsports

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 18th

Past Indy 500 starts: 0

Best finish: none

 

Row 7

 

33 James Davison (Australia)

A.J. Foyt with Byrd/Hollinger/Balardi

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 19th

Past Indy 500 starts: 3

Best finish: 16th

 

59 Max Chilton (England)

Carlin Motorsport

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 20th

Past Indy 500 starts: 2

Best finish: 4th (2017)

 

29 Carlos Munoz (Columbia)

Andretti Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 21st

Past Indy 500 starts: 5

Best finish: 2nd (2013, 2016)

 

Row 8

 

88 Gabby Chaves (Columbia)

Harding Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 22nd

Past Indy 500 starts: 3

Best finish: 9th (2017)

 

25 Stefan Wilson (England)

Andretti Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified 23rd

Past Indy 500 starts: 1

Best finish: 28th (2016)

 

24 Sage Karam (USA)

Dreyer & Reinbold Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified 24th

Past Indy 500 starts: 4

Best finish: 9th (2014)

 

Row 9

 

26 Zach Veach (USA)

Andretti Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 25th

Past Indy 500 starts: 1

Best finish: 26th (2017)

 

64 Oriol Servia (Spain)

Scuderia Corsa with Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 26th

Past Indy 500 starts: 9

Best finish: 4th (2012)

 

66 J.R. Hildebrand (USA)

Dreyer & Reinbold Racing

Engine: Chevrolet

Qualified: 27th

Past Indy 500 starts: 7

Best finish: 2nd (2011)

 

Row 10

7 Jay Howard (England)

Schmidt Peterson Motorsports/AFS Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 28th

Past Indy 500 starts: 2

Best finish: 30th (2017)

 

10 Ed Jones (United Arab Emirates)

Chip Ganassi Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 29th

Past Indy 500 starts: 1

Best finish: 3rd (2017)

 

15 Graham Rahal (USA)

Rahal Letterman Lanigan Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 30th

Past Indy 500 starts: 10

Best finish: 3rd (2011)

 

Row 11

 

60 Jack Harvey (England)

Meyer Shank Racing with Schmidt Peterson

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 31st

Past Indy 500 starts: 1

Best finish: 31st (2017)

 

27 Alexander Rossi (USA)

Andretti Autosport

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 32nd

Past Indy 500 starts: 2

Best finish: 1st (2016)

 

17 Conor Daly (USA)

Dale Coyne Racing

Engine: Honda

Qualified: 33rd

Past Indy 500 starts: 4

Best finish: 22nd (2013)

 

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