Chase Capsules: AJ Allmendinger


47-AJ Allmendinger
Team: JTG Daugherty Racing
Crew Chief: Brian Burns
NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Best Finish: 15th (2011)
Inaugural Chase Appearance
Regular Season Recap: Allmendinger started the year respectably with three top-10s and no finish worse than 26th in the first 10 races, and ranked 15th in the points. Then for the next 11 races, the No. 47 team didn’t finish better than 18th. Still, Allmendinger knew he had a Chase opportunity if he won at Watkins Glen and seized the moment in a thrilling bout with Marcos Ambrose. Allmendinger’s win is the payoff for seven years of trying, and back-to-back top-15 results following the win are proof they could possibly play spoiler in the early Chase races.

Chris’ Take: To advance from the Challenger Round would be a feather in the cap for ‘Dinger and JTG Daugherty, but that may be too tall a task against this field. Getting a good start at Chicagoland will be critical, but like Almirola, he’s not been strong on the intermediate ovals this season. Nonetheless, you can bet that everyone in the 47 squad will be enjoying their time in the spotlight this fall as Chase contenders.

Jerry’s Take: Much like Aric Almirola, AJ Allmendinger has the chance to be this year’s Chase Cinderella. His emotional win at Watkins Glen – and the determination he displayed in that last-lap duel with Marcos Ambrose – showed Allmendinger has the talent and the moxie to go head-to-head with every driver in the Chase. And while most of his competitors will be focusing on the biggest names in the Chase, Allmendinger (like Almirola) has a chance to sneak past the first couple of rounds. Unfortunately, the buck will stop for him by the third round and, as much as we’d love to see the Cinderella story continue all the way to Homestead, it’s going to be very difficult for a one-car team to go that far, no matter who the driver is.

Tony’s Take: Like Aric Almirola (same initials), Allmendinger isn’t going to be a threat to win the Chase barring an unlikely sequence of events. However, he’s had his moments at Martinsville, Charlotte and Talladega in the past to where if he advances through the Challenger Round to the Contender Round, he could upset the apple cart results-wise in those races. Like Kurt Busch a year ago, Allmendinger’s done well to make the Chase in a single-car team, and anything he achieves from here will be a bonus.

AJ Allmendinger’s Career Statistics at Chase Tracks
Chicagoland (1.5 mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, no Top-10s in 5 starts
New Hampshire (1 mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 1 Top-10 in 11 starts
Dover (1 mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 3 Top-10 in 13 starts
Kansas (1.5 mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 2 Top-10s in 9 starts
Charlotte (1.5 mile) – No wins, 1 Top-5, 2 Top-10s in 13 starts
Talladega (2.66 mile) – No wins, 1 Top-5, 1 Top-10 in 9 starts
Martinsville (half-mile) – No wins, 1 Top-5, 2 Top-10s in 12 starts
Texas (1.5-mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 2 Top-10s in 11 starts
Phoenix (1 mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 2 Top-10s in 10 starts
Homestead-Miami (1.5 mile) – No wins, 1 Top-5, 2 Top-10s in 5 starts

Seattle Supercross by the numbers: Three riders separated by 17 points


Three riders remain locked in a tight battle with 17 points separating the leader Cooper Webb from third-place Chase Sexton and these are only a few Supercross numbers to consider entering Seattle.

Seattle Supercross numbers
Chase Sexton made a statement in Detroit with his second win of 2023. – Feld Motor Sports

For the fifth time in 10 rounds. Sexton, Webb, and Eli Tomac shared the podium in Detroit. Between them, the trio has taken 23 podiums, leaving only seven for the remainder of the field. Jason Anderson, Ken Roczen and Justin Barcia have two each with Aaron Plessinger scoring the other.

Webb and Tomac won the last four championships with two apiece in alternating years, but they were not one another’s primary rival for most of those seasons. On the average, however, the past four years show an incredible similarity with average points earned of 21.0 for Webb and 21.3 for Tomac. With five wins so far this season, Tomac (23 wins) leads Webb (19) in victories but Webb (43) edges Tomac (41) in podium finishes during this span.

Tomac has won two of the last three Seattle races and those two wins in this stadium are topped only by James Stewart. Fittingly, if Tomac gets a third win this week, he will tie Stewart for second on the all-time wins’ list. Tomac tied Ricky Carmichael for third with 48 wins at Oakland and took sole possession of that spot with his Daytona win.

Sexton still has a lot to say and after winning last week in Detroit, he is speaking up. The Supercross numbers are against him entering Seattle, however, because a points’ deficit this large after Round 10 has been erased only once. In 1983 David Bailey was 47 points behind Bob Hannah, and like Sexton he was also in third place. Bailey took the points’ lead with one race remaining.

The seven points Sexton was penalized last week for jumping in a red cross flag section in Detroit could prove extremely costly.

In fact, it has been a series of mistakes that has cost Sexton the most. In the last two weeks, he lost 10 points with a 10th-place finish to go with his penalty. Erase those, and all three riders hold their fate in their hands.

Plessinger’s heartbreak in Detroit is still fresh, but the upside of his run is that was his best of the season and could turn his fortunes around. Prior to that race, he led only seven laps in three mains. He was up front for 20 laps in Detroit with five of those being the fastest on the track.

Last week’s win by Hunter Lawrence tied him with his brother Jett Lawrence for 17th on the all-time wins’ list. With the focus shifting to 250 West for the next two rounds, Jett has a great opportunity to pull back ahead. The real test will be at the first East / West Showdown in East Rutherford, New Jersey on April 22.

Last Five Seattle Winners

2022: Eli Tomac
2019: Marvin Musquin
2018: Eli Tomac
2017: Marvin Musquin
2014: Ryan Villopoto

2022: Hunter Lawrence
2019: Dylan Ferrandis
2018: Aaron Plessinger
2017: Aaron Plessinger
2014: Cole Seely

By the Numbers

Anaheim 2
San Diego

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