Chase Capsules: Greg Biffle

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16 – Greg Biffle
Team: Roush Fenway Racing
Crew Chief: Matt Puccia
NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Best Finish: 2nd (2005)
Chase History: 7th Chase Appearance, Best finish of 2nd in 2005

Regular Season Recap: Three top-five finishes and 10 top-10s through the first 26 races are not stellar numbers, but prior to Greg Biffle’s 19th at Richmond Saturday night he had banked five top-10s in a r0w, so there was some upward momentum the last month or so. Biffle could afford to qualify better – he only has six top-10 starts this year – and that would help the No. 16 team on race days as well. He hasn’t won this year but was still one of three drivers to make it on points.

Chris’ Take: His strong run of Top-10 finishes ended last night at Richmond, but despite a sub-par race, Biffle managed to hold on to the final Chase spot by seven points. The good news for him is that he’s shown he can be consistent enough to at least escape the Challenger Round. The bad news is that his Roush Fenway Racing team is still a step or two behind the Hendrick, Penske, and Gibbs camps. Getting bounced in the Contender Round appears likely.

Jerry’s Take: Biffle has a history of rising to the occasion in the Chase. Remember the year he won the first two races in the playoffs (2008)? But The Biff will not have an easy time of it in this year’s Chase. Sure, he had five top-10 finishes prior to Richmond, but 2014 has been a year of constant struggles — not only for him but also for Roush Fenway Racing teammates Carl Edwards and Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Biffle has the talent to pull off a surprise or two in the Chase, but with the way Team Penske has been far outperforming RFR, don’t be surprised to see Biffle and Edwards have quick exits from the Chase.

Tony’s Take: It’s hard for me to see Biffle doing too much beyond advancing through the Challenger round, if that. As mentioned above, he’s been decent, but it will take a hot streak to make noise in this Chase. He was the 16th man in… he drives No. 16… it’s hard to see the finish much better than that. He is a three-time winner at Homestead, so if he does advance beyond projections, he could play spoiler.

Greg Biffle’s Career Statistics at Chase Tracks
Chicagoland (1.5 mile) – No wins, 1 Top-5, 1 Top-10 in 11 starts
New Hampshire (1 mile) – One win, 6 Top-5s, 9 Top-10s in 24 starts
Dover (1 mile) – Two wins, 6 Top-5s, 11 Top-10s in 24 starts
Kansas (1.5 mile) – Two wins, 7 Top-5s, 9 Top-10s in 16 starts
Charlotte (1.5 mile) – No wins, 5 Top-5s, 8 Top-10s in 23 starts
Talladega (2.66 mile) – No wins, 3 Top-5s, 6 Top-10s in 23 starts
Martinsville (half-mile) – No wins, no Top-5s, 5 Top-10s in 23 starts
Texas (1.5-mile) – Two wins, 8 Top-5s, 13 Top-10s in 21 starts
Phoenix (1 mile) – No wins, 5 Top-5s, 7 Top-10s in 21 starts
Homestead-Miami (1.5 mile) – 3 wins, 4 Top-5s, 5 Top-10s in 12 starts