UPDATE: Denny Hamlin’s bad day at New Hampshire gets worse with Lap 180 crash

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UPDATE (4 p.m. ET): A bad day has gotten worse for Denny Hamlin on Lap 180 of today’s Sylvania 300 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

Hamlin was collected in a multi-car pileup in Turn 2 that also involved David Ragan, Martin Truex Jr., and Cole Whitt. The damage sustained to Hamlin’s car was enough to send him to the garage.

Fuel probe issues around Lap 100 had caused him to fall several laps down earlier in the race.

Hamlin was running second when he pitted under green at Lap 95. His Joe Gibbs Racing team later confirmed on Twitter that the stop was due to a problem with the fuel probe.

A caution on Lap 105 for debris gave Hamlin and the No. 11 team a chance to fix the problem. The deck lid on Hamlin’s Toyota went up as the team replaced the fuel-filling apparatus.

The problems caused Hamlin and crew chief Darian Grubb to have a mini-spat over the radio. From MRN’s Dustin Long:

Hamlin returned to the track in 41st place at four laps off the leaders’ pace. He lost a fifth lap on the race track before he was caught in the Lap 180 incident.

He entered today sixth on the Chase Grid at 12 points above the cutoff of the Top 12 that will advance to the Contender Round.

But with this setback, next week’s Challenger Round finale at Dover International Speedway may become his biggest race of the season depending on how his fellow Chasers fare this afternoon.

Marvin Musquin’s Indy win may have come too late

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Marvin Musquin answered one question at Indianapolis last week, but the biggest one may well plague him for the next six weeks.

Musquin has won a battle, but can he win the war?

After standing on the podium in eight of the first 10 races, Musquin finally showed the field he was capable of winning in Indy when he grabbed the holeshot and led every lap on the way to Victory Lane. He was never seriously challenged and it was the Musquin that Supercross fans expected to see all season.

It was a long time coming. Musquin must have felt like victory was just around the corner after finishing second in the overall standings in Anaheim II’s Triple Crown race. He was third in the first Main that night and second in the last two Mains.

As it turned out, that single race defined his season until last week. Musquin stood on the podium all night, but he finished two spots behind Cooper Webb in the first Main and was one spot back in the second. It was only as time ran out that he was able to beat Webb by a single spot in the third Main. If Musquin had won either of the first two Mains, he would have had the overall victory – denying Webb his first career win in the process.

Webb’s Anaheim win revitalized the rider and gave him the confidence to rattle off four more wins in the next seven races.

Meanwhile, Musquin scored podium finishes in the next seven races, making him almost perfect. In another season, a record like that would have been enough to give him a comfortable points lead. In 2019, he sit 14 markers out of first, which is the points’ equivalent of the difference between first and 11th in one race. In other words, Webb cannot lose the points lead at Seattle unless he finishes outside the top 10 while his teammate wins.

Looking at the numbers another way the scenario is not quite as hopeless. Musquin needs to shave only 2.3 points off Webb’s lead each week to win the championship. Three points separate first and second. Five points differentiates first from third, which is where Webb finished in Indianapolis. Webb is vulnerable as his 10th-place finish at Glendale and an eighth at San Diego attest.

Those bobbles came early and Webb seems to have forgotten how to make a mistake.

A third-place is Webb’s worst finish in the last six weeks and since Anaheim II when Musquin started his impressive string of podium finishes, Webb has recorded an average finish of 2.2. That came with a worst finish of eighth on an extremely muddy and heavy track in San Diego. Musquin has a worst finish of only sixth, but his average of 2.8 still lags behind Webb.

Worse still, since Anaheim II Musquin has finished behind Webb in every race except for the outlier of San Diego.

It is no longer a question of keeping pressure on Webb. Musquin cannot expect his teammate to make a mistake; he has to find a way to pass him on the track. If Webb adds only two points to his lead at Seattle, Musquin’s fate would no longer be in his hands. He would need to gain 3.2 points per race. With that scenario, Webb could finish one spot behind Musquin every week and still win the championship.