The Ganassi dilemma for its fourth 2015 IndyCar

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With Team Penske having its four cars locked in for the 2015 Verizon IndyCar Series season, the onus now falls on Chip Ganassi Racing and Andretti Autosport to publicly confirm the drivers for their fourth.

Recently, the fourth at CGR is drawing a lot of attention, and it’s been a shift from what had been discussed and projected roughly 11-12 months ago.

At Houston last year, Ganassi made the move to acquire Tony Kanaan, a savvy move that gave the veteran a chance to join the championship team and one more opportunity for the then-38-year-old Brazilian to contend for more wins and titles.

He was meant to be in the fourth car, the No. 8 NTT Data/TNT Energy Drink entry, alongside Scott Dixon, Dario Franchitti and Charlie Kimball – for what would have been a four-car “super team” this year.

Plans changed. Franchitti had his devastating and career-ending accident at Houston, and Ganassi would have an opening once more.

It was highly coveted. Ganassi told this writer at the time, in a conference call, about who he’d pick:

“We’ve always taken the best driver available at the time. That rule, we learned from a great mentor to our guys, Morris Nunn, who used to say that. Morris always said, ‘You need to take the best driver available and don’t think of anything else.’ That’ll be our first procedure to go through. Do you go with a proven talent or young, up-and-comer? That’s the question we’re dealing with now.”

So while the opportunity was there to bring in a young gun – a Sage Karam, Conor Daly, Sam Bird or “pick your other young, talented, guy who deserves a chance but doesn’t bring much cash here” – Ganassi decided to go with Ryan Briscoe in the No. 8, and move Kanaan to the No. 10.

While not the most flashy decision, Briscoe made a lot of sense for Ganassi in a transition year considering Franchitti’s enforced retirement.

You knew Briscoe could be counted on to be dependable, clean, bring the car home in one piece, experiment with setups and more frequently than not hassle the drivers in the Target cars.

So by the end of this year, Briscoe easily ticked four of those five boxes, and really the only area you could critique was that his pace was not fully on par with the Target pairing of Dixon and Kanaan, Kanaan in particular having been a star the second half of the season in the 10 car.

Still, all signs were pointing to Briscoe continuing in the No. 8 for a second season in 2015. Crucially, he’d been under the impression he was on a multiyear deal, and some reports written at the time of signing said the same.

Karam still was able to enter the Ganassi fold, having been signed as a development driver earlier this year. In limited opportunities, he showed flashes of brilliance – both in his Indianapolis 500 debut, where he could have easily captured rookie-of-the-year honors (and I argued, should have), and additionally in his handful of TUDOR Championship starts, most notably at Sebring.

Reports have now come out in the last month or so that Ganassi is planning a change, and Karam could enter into the No. 8 seat.

Ganassi managing director Mike Hull told me at Road Atlanta this weekend, “We’ll have four cars, but really we’re still sorting out budget on the fourth. That’s the holdup at the moment.”

I can’t help but feel this is a dilemma caused by several factors.

For one, the prominence of the super teams – Penske, Ganassi and Andretti are projected to have 12 cars, potentially more than half the field on their own next year – has limited traditional opportunities for young drivers to break into the sport as they used to.

The days of the Dreyer & Reinbolds (Karam’s Indy 500 team), Conquest Racing, HVM or other smaller teams fielding single cars have gone away. Economies of scale are all the rage, and the best business model, and single-car teams are quickly becoming an endangered species.

Alas, when drivers get to the gates of IndyCar, they either need to gather a budget to join one of the remaining squads or hope they’re fortunate enough to latch onto a major team and join in their development program. The latter is where Karam sits with Ganassi and where Matthew Brabham and Zach Veach are for Andretti, as it stands.

Second, if Briscoe was told he had a multiyear deal and under the impression it would be continuing for 2015 regardless, it would be unfortunate to see the rug get pulled out from under him in this fashion. Say what you will about Ryan – he’s not a world-beater and he made a key mistake during his best shot at a title in 2009 – but in a field of 22-24 cars you’d still rate him as one of the 10 best.

He was left high and dry by Team Penske at the end of 2012 despite efforts to continue, got a reprieve, and now could be left in the same position two years later.

In an ideal world, you’d have Karam run with DRR or similar for a full 2015 season, which means more crew would have work and Karam could compete with Briscoe head-to-head to see who gets the Ganassi seat in 2016.

As it stands now, Karam may get the nod for 2015, and Briscoe could be left out. I love seeing new talent break into the sport – it’s one of my favorite parts of my job.

But I can’t help but feel the way that this is playing out, someone will be on the short end of the stick either way.

Seattle Supercross by the numbers: Three riders separated by 17 points

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Three riders remain locked in a tight battle with 17 points separating the leader Cooper Webb from third-place Chase Sexton and these are only a few Supercross numbers to consider entering Seattle.

Seattle Supercross numbers
Chase Sexton made a statement in Detroit with his second win of 2023. – Feld Motor Sports

For the fifth time in 10 rounds. Sexton, Webb, and Eli Tomac shared the podium in Detroit. Between them, the trio has taken 23 podiums, leaving only seven for the remainder of the field. Jason Anderson, Ken Roczen and Justin Barcia have two each with Aaron Plessinger scoring the other.

Webb and Tomac won the last four championships with two apiece in alternating years, but they were not one another’s primary rival for most of those seasons. On the average, however, the past four years show an incredible similarity with average points earned of 21.0 for Webb and 21.3 for Tomac. With five wins so far this season, Tomac (23 wins) leads Webb (19) in victories but Webb (43) edges Tomac (41) in podium finishes during this span.

Tomac has won two of the last three Seattle races and those two wins in this stadium are topped only by James Stewart. Fittingly, if Tomac gets a third win this week, he will tie Stewart for second on the all-time wins’ list. Tomac tied Ricky Carmichael for third with 48 wins at Oakland and took sole possession of that spot with his Daytona win.

Sexton still has a lot to say and after winning last week in Detroit, he is speaking up. The Supercross numbers are against him entering Seattle, however, because a points’ deficit this large after Round 10 has been erased only once. In 1983 David Bailey was 47 points behind Bob Hannah, and like Sexton he was also in third place. Bailey took the points’ lead with one race remaining.

The seven points Sexton was penalized last week for jumping in a red cross flag section in Detroit could prove extremely costly.

In fact, it has been a series of mistakes that has cost Sexton the most. In the last two weeks, he lost 10 points with a 10th-place finish to go with his penalty. Erase those, and all three riders hold their fate in their hands.

Plessinger’s heartbreak in Detroit is still fresh, but the upside of his run is that was his best of the season and could turn his fortunes around. Prior to that race, he led only seven laps in three mains. He was up front for 20 laps in Detroit with five of those being the fastest on the track.

Last week’s win by Hunter Lawrence tied him with his brother Jett Lawrence for 17th on the all-time wins’ list. With the focus shifting to 250 West for the next two rounds, Jett has a great opportunity to pull back ahead. The real test will be at the first East / West Showdown in East Rutherford, New Jersey on April 22.

Last Five Seattle Winners

450s
2022: Eli Tomac
2019: Marvin Musquin
2018: Eli Tomac
2017: Marvin Musquin
2014: Ryan Villopoto

250s
2022: Hunter Lawrence
2019: Dylan Ferrandis
2018: Aaron Plessinger
2017: Aaron Plessinger
2014: Cole Seely

By the Numbers

Detroit
Indianapolis
Daytona
Arlington
Oakland
Tampa
Houston
Anaheim 2
San Diego

More SuperMotocross coverage

How to Watch Seattle Supercross
Dylan Ferrandis may return before SX finale
SMX develops “Leader Lights”
Power Rankings after Detroit
Hunter Lawrence defends Haiden Deegan
Results and points after Detroit
Chase Sexton wins in Detroit, penalized seven points