MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: Russian GP

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Formula 1 heads to Russia this weekend in a somber state as we continue to send all of our prayers and support to Marussia driver Jules Bianchi following his accident at the Japanese Grand Prix last Sunday.

Bianchi is currently in hospital with severe head injuries, and remains in a critical condition as per the last official update on Tuesday. The F1 field is set to run with messages of support for the Frenchman on the cars and helmets this weekend.

As per usual, the MotorSportsTalk writing team has made its predictions for this weekend’s race as the battle for the championship heads to Sochi for the first race to be held on the site of the 2014 Winter Olympics.

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. Momentum has been everything in this year’s championship, and with three wins on the bounce, Lewis will be gunning to make it four-in-a-row for the second time this year on Sunday.

Surprising finish: Jenson Button. After a great drive to fifth at Suzuka, JB will have been boosted as he continues to fight for his F1 career and place at McLaren. The Briton has a knack for tire saving, which could be crucial at a new circuit like this one.

Most to prove: Ferrari. After a record run of 82 races in the points, Suzuka saw Ferrari score nothing at all. If the Italian team is to finish in the top three of the constructors’ championship, a good result in Sochi is needed.

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race winner: Daniel Ricciardo. At a new street track, and one I’m guessing won’t place the same optimal focus on outright power unit performance as other circuits, the Red Bull-Renault should thrive. I think Daniel could well keep the Mercedes pair at bay this weekend; he’s won three other times this season, so why not at a new track.

Surprising finish: Daniil Kvyat. A new track represents the best opportunity for a rookie to enter on equal footing, and what better place for the Russian to score a top six or seven result than at Sochi. Will be motivated by having received the Red Bull promotion for 2015, and keen to produce a big result on home soil.

Most to prove: Ferrari. The points scoring streak is over. Fernando Alonso’s now heading for the exits. Kimi Raikkonen hasn’t produced the giant-killing performances this year as he did with Lotus. Put up or shut up time at a track where Ferrari, like the rest of the field, isn’t entering with a data disadvantage or a past history there… and thus could deliver a big result if they hit it right first time out.

Christopher Estrada (@estradawriting)

Race winner: Nico Rosberg. After seeing Mercedes teammate Lewis Hamilton seize momentum in the World Championship with wins, a fourth consecutive loss in Russia is not an option for Rosberg.

Surprising finish: Daniil Kvyat. The Toro Rosso pilot is coming home, and coming off a 2015 promotion to Red Bull. His five points hauls so far this year have been relatively small, but I think his growing confidence has him in line for a bigger one this weekend.

Most to prove: Jenson Button and Kevin Magnussen. With Fernando Alonso aiming for a return to Woking in 2015, McLaren’s ex-World Champion and promising rookie have to do all they can on the track to save their respective seats.

Jerry Bonkowski (@JerryBonkowski)

Race winner: Lewis Hamilton. Given that this is the first F1 race in Sochi, who wins it is up for grabs. It’s a great place for guys who’ve struggled this season to make some headlines for themselves, drivers like Jenson Button, Nico Hulkenberg, Felipe Massa, Sergio Perez and Kimi Raikkonen. But with the way he’s been going the last few races, really, how can you pick against Lewis Hamilton, even if this is his first time racing at Sochi?

Surprising finish: Felipe Massa. We see Massa perhaps earning a podium finish at Sochi, again because it’s a brand new track. It’s what folks in NASCAR call a “wild card track” because of its newness. Massa has had an up and down season. As we close in on the season finish, what better way than for him to try and go out on a high note with at least one decent finish in the season’s closing races?

Most to prove: Nico Rosberg. With the F1 championship slowly slipping away, and having gone from three to 10 points back after Suzuka, Rosberg has one last big chance to try and close the points gap that has arisen between himself and teammate Lewis Hamilton. Can Nico do it, or is this where Lewis essentially starts putting the title away in his back pocket?

‘It’s gnarly, bro’: IndyCar drivers face new challenge on streets of downtown Detroit

IndyCar Detroit downtown
James Black/Penske Entertainment
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DETROIT – It was the 1968 motion picture, “Winning” when actress Joanne Woodward asked Paul Newman if he were going to Milwaukee in the days after he won the Indianapolis 500 as driver Frank Capua.

“Everybody goes to Milwaukee after Indianapolis,” Newman responded near the end of the film.

Milwaukee was a mainstay as the race on the weekend after the Indianapolis 500 for decades, but since 2012, the first race after the Indy 500 has been Detroit at Belle Isle Park.

This year, there is a twist.

Instead of IndyCar racing at the Belle Isle State Park, it’s the streets of downtown Detroit on a race course that is quite reminiscent of the old Formula One and CART race course that was used from 1982 to 1991.

Formula One competed in the United States Grand Prix from 1982 to 1988. Beginning in 1989, CART took over the famed street race through 1991. In 1992, the race was moved to Belle Isle, where it was held through last year (with a 2009-2011 hiatus after the Great Recession).

The Penske Corp. is the promoter of this race, and they did a lot of good at Belle Isle, including saving the Scott Fountain, modernizing the Belle Isle Casino, and basically cleaning up the park for Detroit citizens to enjoy.

The race, however, had outgrown the venue. Roger Penske had big ideas to create an even bigger event and moving it back to downtown Detroit benefitted race sponsor Chevrolet. The footprint of the race course goes around General Motors world headquarters in the GM Renaissance Center – the centerpiece building of Detroit’s modernized skyline.

INDYCAR IN DETROITEntry list, schedule, TV info for this weekend

JOSEF’S FAMILY TIESNewgarden wins Indy 500 with wisdom of father, wife

Motor City is about to roar with the sound of Chevrolet and Honda engines this weekend as the NTT IndyCar Series is the featured race on the nine-turn, 1.7-mile temporary street course.

It’s perhaps the most unique street course on the IndyCar schedule because of the bumps on the streets and the only split pit lane in the series.

The pit lanes has stalls on opposing sides and four lanes across an unusual rectangular pit area (but still only one entry and exit).

Combine that, with the bumps and the NTT IndyCar Series drivers look forward to a wild ride in Motor City.

“It’s gnarly, bro,” Arrow McLaren driver Pato O’Ward said before posting the fastest time in Friday’s first practice. “It will be very interesting because the closest thing that I can see it being like is Toronto-like surfaces with more of a Long Beach-esque layout.

“There’s less room for error than Long Beach. There’s no curbs. You’ve got walls. I think very unique to this place.

PRACTICE RESULTS: Speeds from the first session

“Then it’s a bit of Nashville built into it. The braking zones look really very bumpy. Certain pavements don’t look bumpy but with how the asphalt and concrete is laid out, there’s undulation with it. So, you can imagine the cars are going to be smashing on every single undulation because we’re going to go through those sections fairly fast, and obviously the cars are pretty low. I don’t know.

“It looks fun, man. It’s definitely going to be a challenge. It’s going to be learning through every single session, not just for drivers and teams but for race control. For everyone.

“Everybody has to go into it knowing not every call is going to be smooth. It’s a tall task to ask from such a demanding racetrack. I think it’ll ask a lot from the race cars as well.”

The track is bumpy, but O’Ward indicated he would be surprised if it is bumper than Nashville. By comparison to Toronto, driving at slow speed is quite smooth, but fast speed is very bumpy.

“This is a mix of Nashville high-speed characteristics and Toronto slow speed in significant areas,” O’Ward said. “I think it’ll be a mix of a lot of street courses we go to, and the layout looks like more space than Nashville, which is really tight from Turn 4 to 8. It looks to be a bit more spacious as a whole track, but it’ll get tight in multiple areas.”

The concept of having four-wide pit stops is something that excites the 24-year-old driver from Monterey, Mexico.

“I think it’s innovation, bro,” O’Ward said. “If it works out, we’ll look like heroes.

“If it doesn’t, we tried.”

Because of the four lanes on pit road, there is a blend line the drivers will have to adhere to. Otherwise, it would be chaos leaving the pits compared to a normal two-lane pit road.

“If it wasn’t there, there’d be guys fighting for real estate where there’s one car that fits, and there’d be cars crashing in pit lane,” O’Ward said. “I get why they did that. It’s the same for everybody. I don’t think there’s a lot of room to play with. That’s the problem.

“But it looks freaking gnarly for sure. Oh my God, that’s going to be crazy.”

Alex Palou of Chip Ganassi Racing believes the best passing areas will be on the long straights because of the bumps in the turns. That is where much of the action will be in terms of gaining or losing a position in the race.

“It will also be really easy to defend in my opinion,” Palou said. “Being a 180-degree corner, you just have to go on the inside and that’s it. There’s going to be passes for sure but its’ going to be risky.

“Turn 1, if someone dives in, you end up in the wall. They’re not going to be able to pass you on the exit, so maybe with the straight being so long you can actually pass before you end up on the braking zone.”

Palou’s teammate, Marcus Ericsson, was at the Honda simulator in Brownsburg, Indiana, before coming to Detroit and said he was shocked by the amount of bumps on the simulator.

Race promoter Bud Denker, the President of Penske Corporation, and Chevrolet Detroit Grand Prix President Michael Montri, sent the track crews onto the streets with grinders to smooth out the bumps on the race course several weeks ago.

“They’ve done a decent amount of work, and even doing the track walk, it looked a lot better than what we expected,” Ericsson said. “I don’t think it’ll be too bad. I hope not. That’ll be something to take into account.

“I think the track layout doesn’t look like the most fun. Maybe not the most challenging. But I love these types of tracks with rules everywhere. It’s a big challenge, and you have to build up to it. That’s the types of tracks that I love to drive. It’s a very much Marcus Ericsson type of track. I like it.”

Scott Dixon, who was second fastest in the opening session, has competed on many new street circuits throughout his legendary racing career. The six-time NTT IndyCar Series champion for Chip Ganassi Racing likes the track layout, even with the unusual pit lane.

I don’t think that’s going to be something that catches on where every track becomes a double barrel,” Dixon said. “It’s new and interesting.

“As far as pit exit, I think Toronto exit is worse with how the wall sticks out. I think in both lanes, you’ve got enough lead time to make it and most guys will make a good decision.”

It wasn’t until shortly after 3 p.m. ET on Friday that the IndyCar drivers began the extended 90-minute practice session to try out the race course for the first time in real life.

As expected, there were several sketchy moments, but no major crashes during the first session despite 19 local yellow flags for incidents and six red flags.

Rookie Agustin Canapino had to cut his practice short after some damage to his No. 78 Dallara-Chevrolet, but he was among many who emerged mostly unscathed from scrapes with the wall.

“It was honestly less carnage than I expected,” said Andretti Autosport’s Kyle Kirkwood, who was third fastest in the practice after coming off his first career IndyCar victory in the most recent street race at Long Beach in April. “I think a lot of people went off in the runoffs, but no one actually hit the wall (too hard), which actually surprised me. Hats off to them for keeping it clean, including myself.

“It was quite a bit less grip than I think everyone expected. Maybe a little bit more bumpy down into Turn 3 than everyone expected. But overall they did a good job between the two manufacturers. I’m sure everyone had pretty much the same we were able to base everything off of. We felt pretty close to maximum right away.”

Most of the preparation for this event was done either on the General Motors Simulator in Huntersville, North Carolina, or the Honda Performance Development simulator in Brownsburg, Indiana.

“Now, we have simulators that can scan the track, so we have done plenty of laps already,” Power told NBC Sports. “They have ground and resurfaced a lot of the track, so it should be smoother.

“But nothing beats real-world experience. It’s going to be a learning experience in the first session.”

As a Team Penske driver, Power and his teammates were consulted about the progress and layout of the Detroit street course. They were shown what was possible with the streets that were available.

“We gave some input back after we were on the similar what might be ground and things like that,” Power said.

Racing on the streets of Belle Isle was a fairly pleasant experience for the fans and corporate sponsor that compete in the race.

But the vibe at the new location gives this a “big event” feel.

“The atmosphere is a lot better,” Power said. “The location, the accessibility for the fans, the crowd that will be here, it’s much easier. I think it will be a much better event.

“It feels like a Long Beach, only in a much bigger city. That is what street course racing is all about.”

Because the track promoter is also the team owner, Power and teammates Scott McLaughlin and Indy 500 winner Josef Newgarden will have a very busy weekend on the track, and with sponsor and personal appearances.

“That’s what pays the bills and allows us to do this,” Power said.

Follow Bruce Martin on Twitter at @BruceMartin_500