MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: Spanish GP

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MONTMELO – After a three-week break, the Formula 1 paddock reconvenes at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya on the outskirts on the city this weekend for the Spanish Grand Prix, marking the start of the European season.

With the first four flyaways now in the books and the early pecking order shaping up, the teams will be looking to take a stride forwards with the first raft of updates on the 2015 cars this weekend, serving to spice up the battles up and down the grid.

As a result, the predictions have become slightly more difficult to make for the Spanish Grand Prix, given that the teams may be further forward or back from where they were last time out in Bahrain.

Nevertheless, here’s the verdict that the MST team is delivering ahead of the race weekend.

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race WinnerLewis Hamilton. Ferrari’s impressive start to the season could well continue in Spain, given that a number of updates are due on the SF15-T car. That said, there appears to be little that can stop Lewis Hamilton at the moment. A fourth win in five races would make for even more ominous reading.

Surprising FinishDaniel Ricciardo. Red Bull has endured a thoroughly miserable start to the 2015 season, but this could be set to change. A raft of updates on the RB11 could allow Ricciardo and his teammate, Daniil Kvyat, to work their way further up the order and perhaps on to a level playing field with Williams.

Most to ProveMcLaren. McLaren may have a fierce new livery, but the real focus will be on the performance of the MP4-30 with its first major upgrade package. Despite making great strides so far this year, the team needs to end the rut and get on the scoreboard.

Additional Storyline to WatchForce India’s form. Given that the team enjoyed just two days of running with the new car ahead of the new season, Force India’s early season form has been mightily impressive. However, with the rest of the field now introducing a raft of updates, the team may be hit hard as it waits until Austria before making real changes to the VJM08, suggesting a backslide could be on the cards.

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Sebastian Vettel Ferrari
3. Nico Rosberg Mercedes

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race WinnerLewis Hamilton. Mercedes dominated on the long runs here in winter testing and there’s no reason to think the domination won’t continue here in the regular season. Rosberg still hasn’t shown he can beat Hamilton in a session that counts yet this year; I don’t think that changes this weekend.

Surprising FinishFernando Alonso. McLaren Honda is certainly talking of big gains heading into the weekend and Alonso was mightily impressive getting as close as he did to points and Q3 in Bahrain. It would be both a popular and improved result if Alonso cracks the top 10 and delivers the team’s first points of the season.

Most to ProveNico Rosberg. I’ll say Rosberg here more than others due to the fact this is the European season and a good spot for him to hit his stride and take the fight to his teammate. He’s won in Monaco before and a win here in Spain would do wonders for his confidence, psyche and the championship battle if he can put one over on Hamilton. I don’t see it happening, as mentioned above, but it would be good to see him exceed the expectations placed on him at the moment.

Additional Storyline to WatchBattle of the upgrades. The European season traditionally marks the start of upgrade season for all teams and manufacturers. Will any one team make a major performance jump or suffer a setback as a result?

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Nico Rosberg Mercedes
3. Sebastian Vettel Ferrari

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For full broadcast information on the Spanish Grand Prix, click here.