Fun with numbers: Montoya stands best chance of winning the Verizon IndyCar championship


So, you’re saying there’s a chance?

Someone has run the numbers and while seven drivers have a “chance,” when it comes to the who will be champion of the Verizon IndyCar Series this year, the odds favor one driver:

Juan Pablo Montoya.

According to simulation run by A.S. Maness, former editor of , if the last three races of the 2015 IndyCar season were run 100,000 times, the championship would be won by the Team Penske driver 75 percent of the time.

The numbers are primarily based on each driver’s historical performance at each of the remaining tracks: Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course, Pocono Raceway and Sonoma Raceway.

Noteworthy as well is the fact the Sonoma round carries double points with it, which keeps eight drivers mathematically in play.

Montoya, the Indianapolis 500 winner and current points leader by 42 points over Graham Rahal, won last year at Pocono, which marked his first win since his IndyCar comeback at the start of the year.

Following Montoya is Scott Dixon (9.41 percent), Will Power (6.05), Rahal (4.40) and Helio Castroneves (3.75).

The driver with the lowest shot still remaining is Josef Newgarden at 0.17 percent. Newgarden has two wins in 2015.

Like Montoya’s unexpected crash at Iowa Speedway, it’s both hard and fun to imagine all that would have to happen to turn 0.17 into a 100.

NEOM McLaren Formula E announces Jake Hughes will join Rene Rast for 2023 season

McLaren Formula E Hughes
McLaren Racing

Doubling down on their commitment to electric auto sports, McLaren Racing announced Jake Hughes will join Rene Rast to compete in the 2023 Formula E Series (FE), which completes their driver lineup.

The NEOM McLaren FE team was formed by the acquisition of the Mercedes-EQ Formula E team that won the 2021 and 2022 championships with Stoffel Vandoorne and Nyck de Vries behind the wheel.

“Today’s announcement feels like a long time coming,” said Ian James, managing director of NEOM McLaren Electric Racing in a release. “Since May this year, when we first announced McLaren Racing’s entry into Formula E, we have been working tirelessly to get in place the best possible team and structure for sustainable success.

“On the one hand, we have been working on the retention of the amazing talent that already was in place before going into the transitional phase. I’m proud to say I think we’ve done a great job on that front.

“On the other hand, we have been focusing on putting in place new processes and new talent – and the latter includes the drivers.”

The driver lineup clasps the two hands together.

Hughes brings 10 years racing experience in single seater cars, including a role with the acquired Mercedes-EQ team as a reserve and development driver for the past two seasons. He is the 2013 BRDC Formula 4 champion and has multiple wins in Formula 2, including two in 2020.

Announced in August, Rast joins the team after earning two podium finishes and six top-fives in 22 career Formula E starts for Audi Sport ABT before returning to the DTM Series last year. Rast’s best finish in Formula E came in the Puebla E Prix when he finished second to teammate Lucas di Grassi by less than a half second.

McLaren’s commitment to Formula E comes one year after they entered the Extreme E rally series in 2022 with Tanner Foust and Emma Gilmour in the driver lineup. After a modest start to the season, the McLaren XE drivers crossed the finish line first in Round 4 in Chile, but were assessed a time penalty that dropped them to fifth. Last week in the season finale in Uruguay, they held onto a hard-earned second place finish.