Double the amount of base points, in addition to bonus points, could have a major impact on who emerges as the 2015 Verizon IndyCar Series champion following Sunday’s season-ending race at Sonoma Raceway.
Juan Pablo Montoya has led the points since winning the season opener at St. Petersburg. The 1999 CART champion is seeking his first IndyCar title after joining the series last season after seven years of competing in NASCAR.
To earn the championship and the Astor Cup trophy without needing any additional help, Montoya must finish first or second in the GoPro Grand Prix of Sonoma. One other way is if Montoya’s closest challenger, Graham Rahal, who comes into the race 34 points behind, fails to win Sunday and Montoya finishes no lower than third place.
Double base points brings an added dimension of excitement and uncertainty that ultimately means even the driver who is furthest behind Montoya in points – Josef Newgarden (-87 points) – still has a chance of pulling off a big upset, albeit a slim one.
But the bonus points and various scenarios don’t seem to matter much to Montoya, who remains confident he can win the title.
“Same thing as every week: Go out there and do the best we can, see what happens,” Montoya told IndyCar.com. “It’s double points, so it’s open for anything. I feel if we run a smart day all day, we’ll be fine.”
Also courtesy of IndyCar.com, here’s a chart of virtually all possible scenarios to determine this year’s champion:
Three riders remain locked in a tight battle with 17 points separating the leader Cooper Webb from third-place Chase Sexton and these are only a few Supercross numbers to consider entering Seattle.Chase Sexton made a statement in Detroit with his second win of 2023. – Feld Motor Sports
Webb and Tomac won the last four championships with two apiece in alternating years, but they were not one another’s primary rival for most of those seasons. On the average, however, the past four years show an incredible similarity with average points earned of 21.0 for Webb and 21.3 for Tomac. With five wins so far this season, Tomac (23 wins) leads Webb (19) in victories but Webb (43) edges Tomac (41) in podium finishes during this span.
Tomac has won two of the last three Seattle races and those two wins in this stadium are topped only by James Stewart. Fittingly, if Tomac gets a third win this week, he will tie Stewart for second on the all-time wins’ list. Tomac tied Ricky Carmichael for third with 48 wins at Oakland and took sole possession of that spot with his Daytona win.
Sexton still has a lot to say and after winning last week in Detroit, he is speaking up. The Supercross numbers are against him entering Seattle, however, because a points’ deficit this large after Round 10 has been erased only once. In 1983 David Bailey was 47 points behind Bob Hannah, and like Sexton he was also in third place. Bailey took the points’ lead with one race remaining.
The seven points Sexton was penalized last week for jumping in a red cross flag section in Detroit could prove extremely costly.
In fact, it has been a series of mistakes that has cost Sexton the most. In the last two weeks, he lost 10 points with a 10th-place finish to go with his penalty. Erase those, and all three riders hold their fate in their hands.
Plessinger’s heartbreak in Detroit is still fresh, but the upside of his run is that was his best of the season and could turn his fortunes around. Prior to that race, he led only seven laps in three mains. He was up front for 20 laps in Detroit with five of those being the fastest on the track.
Last week’s win by Hunter Lawrence tied him with his brother Jett Lawrence for 17th on the all-time wins’ list. With the focus shifting to 250 West for the next two rounds, Jett has a great opportunity to pull back ahead. The real test will be at the first East / West Showdown in East Rutherford, New Jersey on April 22.
Last Five Seattle Winners
450s 2022: Eli Tomac
2019: Marvin Musquin
2018: Eli Tomac
2017: Marvin Musquin
2014: Ryan Villopoto
