It’s a near certainty that Lewis Hamilton will secure his third World Championship this weekend at Circuit of The Americas, and second consecutive for Mercedes AMG Petronas.
The maximum points available after this race will be 75 points, 25 apiece for wins at the last three races of the year at Mexico, Brazil and Abu Dhabi. If Hamilton’s gap is 76 or more, he clinches in Austin.
It’s pretty simple as to how Hamilton does it. He needs to outscore new second-place man Sebastian Vettel by nine points (he’s up 66 points on him right now), and Nico Rosberg by just two (up 73 points).
That means Hamilton wins the title with:
- A win, Vettel third or worse and Rosberg second or worse
- Second place, Vettel sixth or worse and Rosberg third or worse
- Third place, Vettel eighth or worse and Rosberg fifth or worse
- Fourth place, Vettel ninth or worse and Rosberg fifth or worse
- Fifth place, Vettel 10th or worse and Rosberg sixth or worse
Hamilton needs a top-five finish to clinch and remote as the chances are, even if he finished sixth or worse and Vettel didn’t score points, Vettel would still be mathematically eligible headed to Mexico City next week.
The full points possibilities breakdown of the top three drivers going into Austin is linked below: