MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: 2016 British GP

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Formula 1 arrives at Silverstone for this weekend’s British Grand Prix with the title fight between Lewis Hamilton and Nico Rosberg re-stoked after their on-track clash in Austria.

Hamilton and Rosberg collided on the final lap of the race at the Red Bull Ring, prompting Mercedes to threaten that team orders may be used in the future to prevent a repeat of the incident.

Mercedes issued a statement on Thursday confirming that its drivers remain free to race for now, but that new deterrents have been made clear to both Hamilton and Rosberg.

With their battle set to rage on against this new context at Silverstone, the stage is set for a thrilling fight at one of grand prix racing’s spiritual homes.

You can read our full grand prix preview here, plus be sure to check out our TV times so you don’t miss a second of the action.

Here are our picks for the British Grand Prix – let us know your thoughts in the comments section!

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton. Whether home advantage counts for anything or not, Hamilton will be the man to beat at Silverstone this weekend. He has won the race three times before and has all of the momentum following the clash in Austria. Victory here would act as another huge psychological gain as the summer break draws near.

Surprise Finish: Romain Grosjean. Tipping Haas for points may not seem so surprising given Grosjean finished seventh in Austria, but with the reality of F1 continuing to bite the team, it would be another big check-mark. The ability to run long on the hard tire may play into Grosjean’s hands on Sunday.

Most to Prove: Nico Rosberg. He’s the man who got the blame for the clash with Hamilton and has seen his championship lead shrink. Now Rosberg needs to get up for the fight and deal Hamilton a significant blow at Silverstone.

Additional Storyline: Home heroes. Hamilton will undoubtedly garner much of the home support at Silverstone this weekend, but both Jenson Button and Jolyon Palmer will be hoping to impress in front of the 120,000-strong crowd. With neither assured of their place on the F1 grid next year, it’s important they savor the race.

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Nico Rosberg Mercedes
3. Sebastian Vettel Ferrari

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton. Lewis. Silverstone. Momentum. Home crowd. Need I write or say more?

Surprise Finish: Carlos Sainz Jr. No reason in particular other than at a similar high tire deg track at Barcelona, Sainz scored an under appreciated sixth place that was overshadowed by former Toro Rosso teammate Max Verstappen winning the race. I’ll tip Sainz for a sixth, possible top-five this weekend.

Most to Prove: Nico Rosberg. Come on, Nico. After Austria you’ve gotta show that you beat Lewis on his home turf and reassert inter-team authority. Another loss here would be the latest blow to his campaign after his remarkable start.

Additional Storyline: Tight turnaround from Austria. It was noted elsewhere this week that the tight week of turnaround for the crews, teams and setups since Austria last week may make it tough this weekend in Silverstone. Will wear and tear have an effect?

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull
3. Sebastian Vettel Ferrari

Seattle Supercross by the numbers: Three riders separated by 17 points

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Three riders remain locked in a tight battle with 17 points separating the leader Cooper Webb from third-place Chase Sexton and these are only a few Supercross numbers to consider entering Seattle.

Seattle Supercross numbers
Chase Sexton made a statement in Detroit with his second win of 2023. – Feld Motor Sports

For the fifth time in 10 rounds. Sexton, Webb, and Eli Tomac shared the podium in Detroit. Between them, the trio has taken 23 podiums, leaving only seven for the remainder of the field. Jason Anderson, Ken Roczen and Justin Barcia have two each with Aaron Plessinger scoring the other.

Webb and Tomac won the last four championships with two apiece in alternating years, but they were not one another’s primary rival for most of those seasons. On the average, however, the past four years show an incredible similarity with average points earned of 21.0 for Webb and 21.3 for Tomac. With five wins so far this season, Tomac (23 wins) leads Webb (19) in victories but Webb (43) edges Tomac (41) in podium finishes during this span.

Tomac has won two of the last three Seattle races and those two wins in this stadium are topped only by James Stewart. Fittingly, if Tomac gets a third win this week, he will tie Stewart for second on the all-time wins’ list. Tomac tied Ricky Carmichael for third with 48 wins at Oakland and took sole possession of that spot with his Daytona win.

Sexton still has a lot to say and after winning last week in Detroit, he is speaking up. The Supercross numbers are against him entering Seattle, however, because a points’ deficit this large after Round 10 has been erased only once. In 1983 David Bailey was 47 points behind Bob Hannah, and like Sexton he was also in third place. Bailey took the points’ lead with one race remaining.

The seven points Sexton was penalized last week for jumping in a red cross flag section in Detroit could prove extremely costly.

In fact, it has been a series of mistakes that has cost Sexton the most. In the last two weeks, he lost 10 points with a 10th-place finish to go with his penalty. Erase those, and all three riders hold their fate in their hands.

Plessinger’s heartbreak in Detroit is still fresh, but the upside of his run is that was his best of the season and could turn his fortunes around. Prior to that race, he led only seven laps in three mains. He was up front for 20 laps in Detroit with five of those being the fastest on the track.

Last week’s win by Hunter Lawrence tied him with his brother Jett Lawrence for 17th on the all-time wins’ list. With the focus shifting to 250 West for the next two rounds, Jett has a great opportunity to pull back ahead. The real test will be at the first East / West Showdown in East Rutherford, New Jersey on April 22.

Last Five Seattle Winners

450s
2022: Eli Tomac
2019: Marvin Musquin
2018: Eli Tomac
2017: Marvin Musquin
2014: Ryan Villopoto

250s
2022: Hunter Lawrence
2019: Dylan Ferrandis
2018: Aaron Plessinger
2017: Aaron Plessinger
2014: Cole Seely

By the Numbers

Detroit
Indianapolis
Daytona
Arlington
Oakland
Tampa
Houston
Anaheim 2
San Diego

More SuperMotocross coverage

How to Watch Seattle Supercross
Dylan Ferrandis may return before SX finale
SMX develops “Leader Lights”
Power Rankings after Detroit
Hunter Lawrence defends Haiden Deegan
Results and points after Detroit
Chase Sexton wins in Detroit, penalized seven points