MotorSportsTalk’s Predictions: United States GP

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Formula 1 rolls into Austin, Texas this weekend for the United States Grand Prix as the fight for the drivers’ championship begins to near its endgame.

Nico Rosberg’s ninth victory of the season last time out in Japan saw him move into a 33-point lead at the top of the standings, leaving Mercedes teammate Lewis Hamilton with a mountain to climb in the closing four races of 2016.

Hamilton will be looking to breathe fresh life into his bid for a fourth world title this weekend at the Circuit of The Americas, a track he has won at three times before. Can he impress in front of a packed crowd?

Here are our picks for the United States Grand Prix.

Luke Smith (@LukeSmithF1)

Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton. No win in five races and a championship deficit of 33 points may make for bad reading, but I’m tipping Hamilton to impress at COTA. It’s a track he loves and has succeeded at before. With his mind now clear after Malaysia and Japan, he’ll bounce back on Sunday with a win.

Surprise Finish: Fernando Alonso. After a pretty miserable second homecoming for McLaren-Honda in Japan two weeks ago, I’m backing Alonso and Button to return to the points at COTA.

Most to Prove: Nico Rosberg. The title is now in Rosberg’s hands. It’s his to lose. Can he finish what he started?

Additional Storyline: Haas’ homecoming. Just how Haas goes down at its first home grand prix will be of particular interest. Both Romain Grosjean and Esteban Gutierrez have been absent from the points for a while, so a top-10 in front of a baying home crowd would be significant.

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Nico Rosberg Mercedes
3. Daniel Ricciardo Red Bull

Tony DiZinno (@tonydizinno)

Race Winner: Lewis Hamilton. It’s win or bust for Hamilton with the championship at crunch time and a place he loves. I’ll say he takes it.

Surprise Finish: Esteban Gutierrez. I’ll say buoyed by his own qualifying performances of late and with the support of the home crowd helping the Haas F1 Team, the Mexican breaks his points-scoring drought of three years and finally gets that elusive first top-10 of the season.

Most to Prove: Renault’s current pair. With Kevin Magnussen rebuffing IndyCar rumors earlier this week and with Jolyon Palmer not on top of mind for the second Renault seat, each of these two needs to channel something deep and find a way to get a big result this weekend. A Q2 and points score would be realistic targets.

Additional Storyline: COTA back from the brink. Weather seriously tarnished last year’s GP here. Can the track rebound from an attendance standpoint, even though the racing in mixed conditions was great?

Predict the Podium

1. Lewis Hamilton Mercedes
2. Nico Rosberg Mercedes
3. Max Verstappen Red Bull