On the strength of three consecutive wins and a pair of runner-up finishes immediately preceding that streak, Hamilton is listed at +105 this week. The reason he is not posted with minus odds, however, is because the driver who ties him in points has one more win during the season and an equal opportunity to take the UAE Grand Prix and Drivers Championship. Max Verstappen was listed at +110 on Saturday morning.
Those odds could switch as money continues to affect the line.
One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 wager, so the return on investment this week for Verstappen is $1.10. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a bet of +300 is the same as 3/1.
After last week’s win and fastest lap in the inaugural Saudi Arabian Grand Prix, Hamilton closed the gap to create the winner-take-all scenario faced this week.
After 21 rounds, Verstappen holds the lead in wins with nine to Hamilton’s eight. With the exception of a fifth in the Turkish Grand Prix for Hamilton, neither driver has finished worse than second, so it’s a fair bet one of them will win in Abu Dhabi this week. Verstappen has finished on the pole 17 times to Hamilton’s 16.
Last week Hamilton was listed at -200 to win the race and -175 for the title, but after watching the fierce battle between the Mercedes and Red Bull racers on the Jeddah Corniche Circuit, traders decided it was almost too close to call.
Of course, anything can happen in an auto race. Immediately ahead of the seven-race streak of near perfection, Hamilton and Verstappen crashed at Monza while battling for the lead. Daniel Ricciardo won that race.
Valtteri Bottas won the Turkish GP two weeks later. This week, he is ranked a distant third with odds of +2500. Bottas finished third in two of the last four races, but broke an undertray in Qatar and finished two laps off the pace in Mexico City.
Sergio Perez is ranked fourth this week with odds of +2800. After Hamilton and Verstappen, he has been the hottest driver since finishing fifth in the Italian GP. He was ninth the following week in Russia and then went on to rattle off five consecutive top-fives. That streak ended last week with an accident in Saudi Arabia.
Lando Norris enters Abu Dhabi with the longest current streak of top-10 finishes at nine. Only one of these, a second at Monza, was among the top five, however. Norris is posted with +2800 odds.
Last week’s fourth-place finisher, Esteban Ocon, is an interesting longshot. He is posted at +20000 this week.
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As Formula E enters their ninth season and McLaren Racing is set to compete in last year’s championship winning car, Ian James is passionate about pushing electric motorsports forward at a critical stage as race technology begins surpassing that of the street cars.
McLaren’s electric portfolio is building with the Formula E team coming one year after they entered the Extreme E rally series in 2022 with Tanner Foust and Emma Gilmour. There were a lot of lessons to learn in that series with growing pains during the first three of five rounds. Rounds 4 and 5 were a completely different matter with the team crossing the finish line first in Chile before being assessed a time penalty.
In the final round in Uruguay, they scored an elusive podium.
“McLaren kicked off the season in Extreme E at the beginning of this year, so our first [electric] race took place Neom, actually out in Saudi,” NEOM McLaren Racing Formula E Team Principal James told NBC Sports. “At the time, we were in very early discussions about opportunities with the Formula E team. I actually went out there to meet with Zak [Brown, CEO McLaren Racing] and that was my first taste of Extreme E.
“Since the transition, I joined them in Chile in Atacama Desert, and then Uruguay last weekend. [The second-place finish was] a lovely way to round out the season. The fact that they got that podium. It was very well deserved. It’s a great team and a great series actually. It’s just so very different from anything else. The team’s done a great job in getting set up, and it’s nice now to, we’re trying to use that momentum that we’ve got from Uruguay to get us into next season when it kicks off next year, which will be great. I think we’re mid-March is looking like the first race, so a little bit of time to get things prepped for that.”
Synergies exist between the single seater and rally series. Lessons learned about battery power and sustainability in the electric SUV carry over so long as one is mindful of keeping focus on the individual needs and nuances of each series.
Especially now that electric racing technology has caught up, and is ready to surpass, the existing technology that has gone into building street cars.
When internal combustion engines gained the upper hand soon after automobiles were invented, racing paced alongside. The pressure of competition pushed the development of their commercial equivalents. The same has not necessarily been true of electric cars. Street cars were not designed to undergo the same stress as racecars – and that vulnerability showed up on the racetrack.
“Formula E has come along a long way,” James said. “I think one of the most notable developments is in the battery technology. In Gen 1, you had the drivers jumping from one car to another car midrace because the battery technology and capacity simply wasn’t where it needed to be to do the full distance. That obviously changed in Gen 2 and we saw a power increase as well to the 250 kilowatts.
“Now going to Gen 3, we have 350 kilowatts in a smaller battery. But that means that we’re relying on the regeneration of energy and for that reason, we’ve got also the opportunity to regenerate on the front axle as well as the rear axle now. So, there’s all sorts of things that are developing in the right direction.
“In terms of throttle response, actually, we’re now in a situation with electric racing and the motors that it’s instantaneous. And one of the advantages of electric over combustion engine is that the torque is instantaneous as well, so that gives you a lot more room to play with.”
No matter the power source, racing has always been about resource management. Drivers and teams select tire strategies they believe produce the fastest elapsed time and fuel conservation comes into play.
On one hand, electric racing is the same, but there is a critical difference. With the battery as both the power source and an integral part of the engine, there are multiple reasons to manage it.
In electric racing, the brain of the car is the software – and that is where James sees the greatest room for advancement.
“As we are working with our drivers and engineers – and start to look at functionality to improve our efficiency and our performance, that’s something we’ll continue to push because that development is open throughout the season,” James said. “That’s going to be our focus going forward and provides enough of a challenge for us to get our teeth into.
“What’s going to be fascinating is as Formula E continues, is to really look at which areas of development on the car are going to be the most relevant and ensuring that we can focus on those together with the manufacturers so we continue and use the series as a platform for technical development that can then feed back into the road car side of things as well.
“At the end of the day, that’s what motorsports always been, a very powerful tool for, and I see Formula E as no exception.”
Selecting Rast and Hughes as McLaren’s Formula E drivers was not simply because they know how to drive fast. James believes both drivers have the mental aptitude to execute energy management strategies throughout the race and squeeze maximum performance.
“As with many other motorsports, you’ve got a certain amount of energy that you’re able to deploy during the race and the management of that energy is absolutely crucial,” James said. “What we’re seeing typically in electric motorsports now is the hardware side of things. The efficiencies that we’re seeing in the powertrain as a whole, they’re getting up to the sort of 96%, 97%, 98% efficiency, so the gains that you get through that further and further become more marginal.”
With much more room for improvement, software is a different matter. To make the best decisions, the drivers need data, and that is where James believes McLaren Formula E will make their greatest impact.
“And then you really switch that focus to the software and that’s where you’re going to see the most the most improvement and the most gains,” James continued. “It’s then using that software to ensure that you’re deploying the energy in the most efficient manner during race, and thereby giving the driver the most performance. And that’s something which is incredibly complicated, but I find it a fascinating area to work in.
“The benefit of being involved in racing is you can really push the envelope in a way that you can’t do on road cars. And I think that that’s where that value comes in. It means that you accelerate the development a lot quicker. We will get ahead of the curve – and we are getting ahead of the curve now – and that will mean that the electric motorsports remain part of the overall development process.
“The key to that is also making sure that the racing’s exciting and fun for the fans. If we can, we can tick both of those boxes, then it’s got a very bright future ahead of it.”