Josef Newgarden is PointsBet favorite for Mid-Ohio; Alexander Rossi among the best dark horses

PointsBet Mid-Ohio Newgarden
Brian Spurlock / Getty Images

Last year’s winner at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course, Josef Newgarden is the PointsBet Sportsbook favorite for this week’s Honda Indy 200 (Sunday, 12:30 p.m. ET on NBC and streaming on Peacock, the NBC Sports App and

There have been five winners in the past five races at Mid-Ohio, but Newgarden is the most recent multiple winner after taking the checkered flag in 2017 and 2021. In seven career starts on this track, he has finished outside the top 10 only once, which was a 14th-place result in 2019. His odds for Sunday’s race are +360.

One way to view American Odds is to move the decimal point two positions to the left. That will let a bettor know what they will make on a $1 bet, so the return on investment this week for Newgarden is $3.60. For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a bet of +300 is the same as 3/1.

The betting lines are much closer below Newgarden.

Patricio O’Ward and Alex Palou are both ranked second this week with a line of +550.

In three starts, O’Ward has not yet cracked the top five at Mid-Ohio with a best of eighth in last year’s event. He has one win on a road course this year, however, after taking Barber Motorsports Park in Round 4.

Palou is also winless, although he came close last year with a third-place finish after starting the race seventh. Palou is winless on the season with his last victory coming at Portland International Raceway last fall.

MORE: Win $25,000 with Honda IndyCar 200 Predictor

Ranked fourth is Colton Herta, barely 25 points behind O’Ward and Palou. There have been five winners in the last five races at Mid-Ohio and Herta is one of them. His win came in the first race of a doubleheader in 2020, but that is his only top-five. Herta also won on the Indy road course four rounds ago.

Alexander Rossi rounds out the top five this week with a line of +700. With a payout nearly twice that of the favorite, Rossi may be the best value this week.

Rossi has not yet won in 2022, but he has been among the top five in his last three starts this season, including a third-place finish last week at Road America. He won at Mid-Ohio in 2018 and has not been outside the top five since. In fact, in six career starts there, his worst effort landed sixth on the chart in his inaugural attempt in 2017.

Will Power won the second race of 2020’s double header, which was his ninth top-10 in the previous 10 races on this track. Power started the season with five consecutive top-fives and won at Belle Isle two rounds ago. His line this week is +900.

Scott Dixon rounds out the contenders under 10/1 with a line of +900. He won on this track in 2019.

Previous Betting Lines

Road America: Alex Palou is slightly favored
St Petersburg: Colton Herta tops the list
Texas: Scott Dixon favored
Long Beach: Herta favored for second street race
Barber: Herta still favored, but line gets longer
GMR Grand Prix: Herta continue to be road racing favorite
Indy 500: Scott Dixon favored; Jimmie Johnson solid dark horse

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For more betting coverage, visit NBC Sports Edge

Justin Grant prevails over Kyle Larson in the Turkey Night Grand Prix

Grant Larson Turkey Night / DB3 Inc.

On the heels of his Hangtown 100 victory, Justin Grant worked his way from 13th in the Turkey Night Grand Prix to beat three-time event winner Kyle Larson by 1.367 seconds. The 81st annual event was run at Ventura (Calif.) Raceway for the sixth time.

“My dad used to take me to Irwindale Speedway, and we’d watch Turkey Night there every year,” Grant said in a series press release. “This is one of the races I fell in love with. I didn’t think I’d ever get a chance to run in it, never thought I’d make a show and certainly never thought I’d be able to win one.”

With its genesis in 1934 at Gilmore Stadium, a quarter-mile dirt track in Los Angeles, the race is steeped in history with winners that include AJ Foyt, Parnelli Jones, Gary Bettenhausen and Johnnie Parsons. Tony Stewart won it in 2000. Kyle Larson won his first of three Turkey Night Grands Prix in 2012. Christopher Bell earned his first of three in 2014, so Grant’s enthusiasm was well deserved.

So was the skepticism that he would win. He failed to crack the top five in three previous attempts, although he came close last year with a sixth-place result. When he lined up for the feature 13th in the crowded 28-car field, winning seemed like a longshot.

Grant watched as serious challengers fell by the wayside. Mitchel Moles flipped on Lap 10 of the feature. Michael “Buddy” Kofoid took a tumble on Lap 68 and World of Outlaws Sprint car driver Carson Macedo flipped on Lap 79. Grant saw the carnage ahead of him and held a steady wheel as he passed Tanner Thorson for the lead with 15 laps remaining and stayed out of trouble for the remainder of the event.

“It’s a dream come true to win the Turkey Night Grand Prix,” Grant said.

Kyle Larson follows Justin Grant to the front on Turkey Night

The 2012, 2016 and 2019 winner, Larson was not scheduled to run the event. His wife Katelyn is expecting their third child shortly, but after a couple of glasses of wine with Thanksgiving dinner and while watching some replays of the event, Larson texted car owner Chad Boat to see if he had a spare car lying around. He did.

“We weren’t great but just hung around and it seemed like anybody who got to the lead crashed and collected some people,” Larson said. “We made some passes throughout; in the mid-portion, we weren’t very good but then we got better at the end.

“I just ran really, really hard there, and knew I was running out of time, so I had to go. I made some pretty crazy and dumb moves, but I got to second and was hoping we could get a caution to get racing with Justin there. He was sliding himself at both ends and thought that maybe we could get a run and just out-angle him into [Turn] 1 and get clear off [Turn] 2 if we got a caution, but it just didn’t work out.”

Larson padded one of the most impressive stats in the history of this race, however. In 10 starts, he’s won three times, finished second four times, was third once and fourth twice.

Bryant Wiedeman took the final spot on the podium.

As Grant and Larson began to pick their way through the field, Kofoid took the lead early from the outside of the front row and led the first 44 laps of the race before handing it over to Cannon McIntosh, who bicycled on Lap 71 before landing on all fours. While Macedo and Thorson tussled for the lead with McIntosh, Grant closed in.

Thorson finished 19th with McIntosh 20th. Macedo recovered from his incident to finish ninth. Kofoid’s hard tumble relegated him to 23rd.

Jake Andreotti in fourth and Kevin Thomas, Jr. rounded out the top five.

1. Justin Grant (started 13)
2. Kyle Larson (22)
3. Bryant Wiedeman (4)
4. Jake Andreotti (9)
5. Kevin Thomas Jr. (1)
6. Logan Seavey (8)
7. Alex Bright (27)
8. Emerson Axsom (24)
9. Carson Macedo (7)
10. Jason McDougal (18)
11. Jake Swanson (16)
12. Chase Johnson (6)
13. Jacob Denney (26)
14. Ryan Timms (23)
15. Chance Crum (28)
16. Brenham Crouch (17)
17. Jonathan Beason (19)
18. Cade Lewis (14)
19. Tanner Thorson (11)
20. Cannon McIntosh (3)
21. Thomas Meseraull (15)
22. Tyler Courtney (21)
23. Buddy Kofoid (2)
24. Brody Fuson (5)
25. Mitchel Moles (20)
26. Daniel Whitley (10)
27. Kaylee Bryson (12)
28. Spencer Bayston (25)