Max Verstappen is PointsBet favorite for 2022 Italian Grand Prix despite modest Monza record

PointsBet 2022 Italian odds
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Max Verstappen is riding a four-race winning streak and that makes him the PointsBet Sportsbook odds favorite to win the 2022 Italian Grand Prix at Monza. He shows odds of -130 this week.

Keeping his streak alive could prove challenging, however. In seven starts at Monza, Verstappen recorded only one top-five and that came back in 2018. He has three other top-10s – neither of which came in the last two seasons – and his average finish on this track is 11th. But he has this current winning streak and six other victories in the first 10 rounds of 2022 and that begs the question of whether momentum can completely override a poor record.

With minus odds, the way to determine a payout is by subtraction. In order for a bettor to earn $100, he must wager $130 this week; with that wager, he will get back his initial stake and winnings of $100.

For bettors more comfortable with fractional odds, a bet of +300 is the same as 3/1.

Charles Leclerc is ranked second this week at +125. While he has a two wins this season, Leclerc lost some of his momentum after taking the checkers in Austria. He failed to finish in the top five in his next three starts, but rebounded with a third last week at Zandvoort.

After the two favorites, the odds fall off precipitously. George Russell is listed at +1400 this week. If Verstappen and Leclerc stumble at all, Rusell is poised to earn his first career win after finishing in the top five in all but one race this season. Russell had his best Italian GP last year in ninth.

Rounding out the top five are a trio of drivers listed at +4000. They are Lewis Hamilton, Sergio Perez and Carlos Sainz Jr.

It’s hard to imagine that Hamilton will complete the 2022 season winless, so each time he is listed with odds this high, he is worth a wager. From 2014 through 2019, he won four times and finished on the podium in all six races. His last two Italian GPs were outside the top five, but he makes up for that with seven such results in his last eight attempts.

Sergio Perez is riding a four-race, top-five streak and has finished that well in all but two races of 2022. He won the Monaco GP ahead the other 40/1 driver Sainz.

Sainz saw a three-race, top-five streak end last week at Zandvoort with an eighth-place finish. He has one win on the season at Silverstone in the British GP.

Last year’s winner, Daniel Ricciardo is listed with a whopping +30000 line while Valtteri Bottas, who has never finished worse than sixth in the Italian GP, is shown as +50000.

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.

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Houston Supercross by the numbers: Five riders begin to gap the field

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Chase Sexton stumbled in San Diego and Eli Tomac had a hard fall in Anaheim 2, but the Monster Energy Supercross numbers for Houston suggest they will continue to be the ones to beat in Houston. To do so, they will have to turn back challenges from another pair of riders who have swept the top five in the first three rounds and another with a worst finish of sixth.

Houston Supercross numbers
Cooper Webb’s ability to close races makes him a Houston favorite. – Feld Motor Sports

Despite an accident in his heat in San Diego that sent him to the Last Chance Qualifier (LCQ), Sexton recovered to score a top-five that weekend. His podium finish in Anaheim 1 and overall win last week in Anaheim 2 makes him one of the three riders with a perfect top-five record. He is joined by Cooper Webb, who finished second in the first two rounds and fourth last week, and Ken Roczen, whose consistency in the first three races contributed to him grabbing the top spot in this week’s NBC Supercross Power Rankings.

There are reasons to believe Webb and Roczen can keep those streaks alive.

Webb is the only multiple winner at Supercross’ current Houston stadium. His pair of wins came in 2019 and 2021, the same year he won his two 450 championships.

Clinton Fowler points out this week, that Webb has carried that strength into 2023. Webb had a late surge in Anaheim 1, advancing from fifth to second in the final six laps. In San Diego, he set his ninth fastest lap with two to go and his eighth fastest on the final lap. He posted his fastest lap of Anaheim 2 on Lap 12 while the rest of the field did so on Lap 6 on average.

By comparison, Tomac set his 14th fastest lap on the final circuit in route to winning the Main at San Diego while he was trying to keep Webb at bay.

With a sixth at San Diego, Dylan Ferrandis barely missed sweeping the top five in his first three races as did Tomac with a sixth last week at Anaheim 2.

This will be the 46th year Supercross has visited Houston and with 55 races the city is tied for the second-most with Detroit.

Jim Pomeroy won the first race in the Astrodome during the inaugural season of 1974 on a 250, which was the premiere class at the time. Houston was one of three races held that year along with events at Daytona International Speedway and the Los Angeles Coliseum. All three venues return in 2023 with the first SuperMotocross championship finale returning to the famed LA Coliseum in September.

Webb won most recently in 2021 in the final race of three held there that year as the series executed a strategy of racing in residencies to limit travel during height of the COVID-19 pandemic. Tomac and Justin Barcia also won in Houston in 2021.

Two privateers have started the season on a high note.

Joshua Cartwright and Joshua Varize have each made the last two Mains. Cartwright finished 18th in San Diego and 21st last week in Anaheim 2 – all while working fulltime as a Business Intelligence Analyst at the University of Texas, Dallas. Varize earned a top-15 (12th) in San Diego and was 21st in Anaheim 2 in his third season on a 450.

Michael Mosiman scored his first 250 win last year in San Diego. – Feld Motor Sports

The numbers show none of the active 250 Supercross East riders have won in Houston, so no matter who steps on top of the box, there is going to be a fresh face. That is not surprising since most of the top competitors have not raced at this venue yet.

Michael Mosiman has a pair of top-fives there, however. His best finish was a second in the second 2021 race. Garrett Marchbanks scored a top-10 in his rookie season of 2019 in Houston.

In the 250 East division, Hunter Lawrence is one of the favorites to win the title now that Christian Craig has moved to 450s. Last year he had four wins and nine podiums, but failed to set a fast lap in a race.

The other 250 riders with 2022 wins this week are Mosiman, who earned his first Supercross win last year in San Diego, and Nate Thrasher, who became the fifth new class winner at Daytona.

Jeremy Martin will attempt to extend a record this week in Houston. His division leading SuperMotocross podiums number 65. He has 26 wins in the combined sessions, which ranks fourth all time.

Last Five Houston Winners

450s
2022, no race
2021, Race 3: Cooper Webb
2021, Race 2: Eli Tomac
2021, Race 1: Justin Barcia
2020, no race
2019, Cooper Webb
2018, Jason Anderson

250s
2022, no race
2021, Race 3: Colt Nichols
2021, Race 2: Jett Lawrence
2021, Race 1: Christian Craig
2020, no race
2019, Dylan Ferrandis
2018, Aaron Plessinger

By the Numbers

Anaheim 2
San Diego

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