Daytona Supercross by the numbers: Is Eli Tomac untouchable?


The Daytona Monster Energy Supercross numbers suggest that Eli Tomac may be practically untouchable after his winning six of the last seven races on this course, including the last four consecutive.

Daytona Supercross numbers
Eli Tomac won the 2019 Daytona Supercross race and has been unbeatable ever since. – Feld Motor Sports

For years, it was believed Ricky Carmichael’s five Daytona Supercross wins would stand the test of time until Tomac tied him with five in 2021. Last year, Tomac took sole possession of the record with his sixth victory and now there is a chance history could repeat this weekend. Tomac tied another of Carmichael’s records in Oakland with his 48th win in the stadium series and could push that rider back a position if he is able to score a fifth straight win on this Supercross track that also has elements of Motocross mixed in.

How likely is that? Tomac stumbled twice in 2023 before Arlington and each time he roared back with a victory. His sixth-place finish in the second Anaheim race was followed by a win in Houston. The following week, Tomac protected his points’ lead by riding a safe race at Tampa. He won the following round in Oakland.

Last week was another uncharacteristic finish for Tomac. He stood on the podium, but a rare crash on the tunnel jump while he was leading the third race of the Arlington Triple Crown allowed Cooper Webb to close to within two points. Webb has not yet won in Daytona, but he led 15 of 18 laps last year and finished second. Equally important, he has stood on the Daytona podium in each of his five starts.

Third-place Chase Sexton will make his third appearance at Daytona after earning the final podium spot last year.

It’s a fair bet that these three riders could stand on the podium again because they have combined for 16 of the 21 podiums available so far in 2023. With six, Sexton leads Tomac and Webb, who have five each.

Webb and Sexton remain the only riders to sweep the top five in the first seven rounds.

The rider leaving Daytona will have a distinct advantage as the series nears the halfway point. The points leader after this race has won the title 78 percent of the time, according to Supercross statistician Clinton Fowler from Three Laps Down. Since 1990, the leader after Daytona has 88 percent of the championship wins. The most recent exception belongs to Ken Roczen in 2021 when he was a mere two points ahead of the eventual champion Webb.

Notably, two points is the current separation between Tomac and Webb entering this weekend.

The five points between Tomac and third-place Sexton is now the closest in history at this stage of the season.

With so many fresh faces in the 250 East class, we’ve become accustomed to seeing new winners each week, but Jordon Smith and Jeremy Martin would like to have something to say about that. Smith won Daytona in 2018; Marin won in 2016. Both riders had strong runs last weekend in Arlington with Smith victorious in Race 2 of the Triple Crown and Martin claiming Race 3.

To do this, they will have to beat Hunter Lawrence, who is seeking an eighth SMX win that would move him into the top 50 in all-time wins.

Last Five Daytona Winners

2022: Eli Tomac
2021: Eli Tomac
2020: Eli Tomac
2019: Eli Tomac
2018: Justin Brayton

2022: Jett Lawrence
2021: Cameron McAdoo
2020: Garrett Marchbanks
2019: Austin Forkner
2018: Jordon Smith

By the Numbers

Anaheim 2
San Diego

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Cooper Webb wins Arlington, closes on Tomac
Results and Points after Arlington
Max Anstie: You can’t skip steps
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Eli Tomac wins sixth Daytona SX race

Supercross 2023: Results and points after Seattle


The final results from the Monster Energy Supercross race in Seattle suggests the season is turning into a two-rider battle as Eli Tomac scored his sixth win of the season to tie Cooper Webb for the points’ lead and Chase Sexton crashed in yet another race.

Tomac downplayed the neck strain that caused him to lose the red plate for two weeks, but without that holding him back, it would appear it might have been a bigger problem than he admitted. Despite finishing on the podium in Detroit, Tomac has not shown the late-race strength everyone has come to expect. He was in a slump after scoring a season-worst in Indianapolis and described his sixth win as a “bounce back”.

With this win, Tomac tied James Stewart for second on the all-time list with 50 career Supercross victories. Six rounds remain and there is no sign that Tomac is slowing down. Jeremy McGrath’s 72 wins remains untouchable, for the moment at least.

RESULTS: Click here for full 450 Overall Results; Click here for 250 Overall Results

Cooper Webb was disappointed with second-place, but he recognized the Supercross results at Seattle could have been much worse. He rode in fifth for the first nine laps of the race, behind Tomac and Sexton. When Sexton crashed from the lead and Tomac took the top spot, Webb knew he could not afford to give up that many points and so he dug deep and found enough points to share the red plate when the series returns in two weeks in Glendale, Arizona for a Triple Crown event.

Justin Barcia scored his third podium of the season, breaking out of a threeway tie of riders who have not been the presumed favorites to win the championship. Barcia scored the podium without drama or controversy. It was his fourth consecutive top-five and his 10th straight finish of eighth or better.

Click here for 450 Heat 1 | Heat 2 | Last Chance Qualifier | Lap Chart

Jason Anderson kept his perfect record of top-10s alive with a fourth-place finish. Tied for fourth in the standings and 49 out of the lead, his season has been like a death of a thousand cuts. He’s ridden exceptionally well, but the Big Three have simply been better.

Sexton rebounded from his fall to finish fifth. He entered the race 17 points out of the lead and lost another five in Seattle. Mistakes have cost Sexton 22 points in the last three races and that is precisely how far he is behind Tomac and Webb. Unless those two riders bobble, this deficit cannot overcome.

The rider who ties Anderson for fourth in the points, Ken Roczen finished just outside the top five in sixth after he battled for a podium position early in the race.

Click here for 450 Overall results | Rider Points | Manufacturer Points

The 250 West riders got back in action after four rounds of sitting on the sideline and Jett Lawrence picked up where he left of: in Victory Lane. Lawrence now has four wins and a second-place finish in five rounds. One simply doesn’t get close to perfection than that.

Between them, the Lawrence brothers have won all but two races though 11 rounds. Jett failed to win the Anaheim Triple Crown and Hunter Lawrence failed to win the Arlington Triple Crown format in the 250 East division. In two weeks, the series has their final Triple Crown race in Glendale. When he was reminded of this from the top of the Seattle podium, Jett replied, “oof”.

Click here for 250 Heat 1 | Heat 2 | Last Chance Qualifier | Lap Chart

RJ Hampshire finished second in the race and is second in the points. This is fourth time in five rounds that Hampshire finished second to Lawrence. If not for a crash-induced 11th-place finish in the Arlington Triple Crown, he would be much closer in the points standings. With that poor showing, he is 23 points behind Lawrence.

Cameron McAdoo made a lot of noise in his heat. Riding aggressively beside Larwence, the two crashed in the preliminary. McAdoo could never seem to get away from Hampshire in the Main and as the two battled, the leader got away. It would have been interesting to see how they would have raced head-to-head when points were on the line.

Click here for 250 Overall results | 250 West Rider Points | 250 Combined Rider Points

The Supercross results in Seattle were kind to a couple of riders on the cusp of the top five. Enzo Lopes scored his second top-five and fourth top-10 of the season after crossing the finish line fourth in Seattle.

Tying his best finish of the season for the third time, Max Vohland kept his perfect record of top-10s alive. Vohland is seventh in the points.

2023 Results

Round 11: Eli Tomac bounces back with sixth win
Round 10: Chace Sexton wins, penalized
Round 9: Ken Roczen wins
Round 8: Eli Tomac wins 7th Daytona
Round 7: Cooper Webb wins second race
Race 6: Eli Tomac, Jett Lawrence win
Race 5: Webb, Hunter Lawrence win
Race 4: Tomac, H Lawrence win
Race 3: Chase Sexton, Levi Kitchen win
Race 2: Tomac, J Lawrence win
Round 1: Tomac, J Lawrence win

2023 SuperMotocross Power Rankings

Week 10: Chase Sexton leads with consistency
Week 8: Chase Sexton unseats Eli Tomac
Week 7: Jason Anderson narrowly trails Tomac
Week 6: Perfect Oakland night keeps Tomac first
Week 5: Cooper Webb, Sexton close gap
Week 4: Tomac retakes lead
Week 3: Ken Roczen takes the top spot
Week 2: Roczen moves up; Sexton falls
Week 1: Tomac tops 450s; Jett Lawrence 250s